Kevin Danso
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kevin Danso's performance-implied value at EUR 12.9M-25.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.6M-26.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.6M-16.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 1
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 90.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €19.1M vs market €20.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -53% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1491 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 90 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1564
- Opponent strength
- 1599
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.6M – €16.2M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+94 Elo); relative output down 26% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -60% to -36%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1491 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 24 | 1491 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1599 | 1564 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CB | 12 | 1080 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1423 | 1484 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 10 | 843 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1602 | 1564 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CB | 30 | 2655 | 87% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 1462 | 1518 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CB | 37 | 3234 | 95% | 1 | 3 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 1435 | 1626 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CB | 33 | 2793 | 82% | 2 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 1421 | 1492 | 0.86 |
| 2019/20 | Southampton FC | Premier League | CB | 6 | 276 | 8% | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.15 | 1571 | 1528 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 18 | 1247 | 41% | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 1507 | 1409 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 16 | 1108 | 36% | 2 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 1531 | 1461 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 7 | 613 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 1550 | 1452 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 477 | 0 | 0 | 1573 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Austria | 3 | 149 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Super Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1830 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 106 | 0 | 0 | 1494 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RC Lens | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1446 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | RC Lens | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1666 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | RC Lens | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1509 |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 2 | 146 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 3 | 211 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issa Diop Premier League · 2024 | 27 | €20.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Ben Davies Premier League · 2020 | 27 | €17.5M | €20.0M | flat |
| Daniel Amartey Premier League · 2023 | 29 | €12.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Igor Julio Premier League · 2024 | 26 | €17.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Adam Webster Premier League · 2024 | 29 | €20.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Jeison Murillo Laliga · 2018 | 26 | €15.0M | €6.5M | fell |
| Aymen Abdennour Laliga · 2016 | 27 | €10.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Diego Llorente Laliga · 2019 | 26 | €25.0M | €20.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Lens | Tottenham | €25.0M | €25.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Tottenham | Lens | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Lens | Tottenham | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 6 Aug 2021 | Augsburg | Lens | €8.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | F. Düsseldorf | Augsburg | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 18 Aug 2020 | Augsburg | F. Düsseldorf | Free / loan | €6.3M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Southampton | Augsburg | Free / loan | €6.3M |
| 8 Aug 2019 | Augsburg | Southampton | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 1 Mar 2017 | FC Augsburg U19 | Augsburg | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FC Augsburg U17 | FC Augsburg U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | MK Dons U18 | FC Augsburg U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2008 | Reading Yth. | MK Dons U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.