Augusto Batalla
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Augusto Batalla's performance-implied value at EUR 3.5M-8.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.3M-7.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.3M-4.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 25
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 83.9th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €4.5M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -39% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3060 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 84 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1518
- Opponent strength
- 1497
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.3M – €4.8M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+78 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -53% (IQR -63% to -40%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Rayo Vallecano | Laliga | GK | 34 | 3060 | 89% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1497 | 1518 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Rayo Vallecano | Laliga | GK | 32 | 2880 | 84% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1521 | 1440 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Granada CF | Laliga | GK | 17 | 1530 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1500 | 1315 | 1.00 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1286 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Gabulov Premier Liga · 2014 | 31 | €6.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Andrea Consigli Serie A · 2016 | 29 | €7.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Antonio Mirante Serie A · 2014 | 31 | €6.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Oliver Baumann Bundesliga · 2021 | 31 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Mariano Andújar Serie A · 2013 | 30 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Pau López Ligue 1 · 2024 | 30 | €10.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Koen Casteels Bundesliga · 2023 | 31 | €8.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Michael Agazzi Serie A · 2013 | 29 | €7.0M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | River Plate | Rayo Vallecano | €1.6M | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Rayo Vallecano | River Plate | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 23 Aug 2024 | River Plate | Rayo Vallecano | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Granada CF | River Plate | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 3 Jan 2024 | River Plate | Granada CF | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 31 Dec 2023 | San Lorenzo | River Plate | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 26 Jul 2021 | River Plate | San Lorenzo | Free / loan | €550k |
| 25 Jul 2021 | O'Higgins | River Plate | Free / loan | €550k |
| 10 Jan 2020 | River Plate | O'Higgins | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 31 Dec 2019 | La Calera | River Plate | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 10 Jan 2019 | River Plate | La Calera | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Dec 2018 | Tigre | River Plate | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 8 Aug 2018 | River Plate | Tigre | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Atl. Tucumán | River Plate | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 5 Jan 2018 | River Plate | Atl. Tucumán | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | River Plate II | River Plate | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | River Plate U20 | River Plate II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.