Martin Valjent
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Martin Valjent's performance-implied value at EUR 3.3M-10.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-3.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 19
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 79.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.2M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -45% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3309 (97% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 79 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1421
- Opponent strength
- 1495
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.0M – €2.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 16 pts; relative output down 80% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -70% to -11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CB | 37 | 3309 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1495 | 1421 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CB | 31 | 2765 | 81% | 3 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 1525 | 1415 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CB | 28 | 2354 | 69% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1479 | 1436 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CB | 30 | 2659 | 78% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1494 | 1430 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CB | 36 | 3182 | 93% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1543 | 1378 | 1.05 |
| 2019/20 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CB | 36 | 3185 | 93% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1547 | 1415 | 1.16 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 2 | 53 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercopa | RCD Mallorca | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1819 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 3 | 207 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 2 | 159 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Balliu Laliga · 2023 | 31 | €4.0M | €1.4M | fell |
| Luca Rossettini Serie A · 2014 | 29 | €1.8M | €2.3M | rose |
| Jonathan Gradit Ligue 1 · 2022 | 30 | €4.5M | €4.5M | flat |
| Jonas Föhrenbach Bundesliga · 2024 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Vincent Manceau Ligue 1 · 2018 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.7M | flat |
| Brede Hangeland Premier League · 2013 | 32 | €5.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Omar Colley Serie A · 2022 | 30 | €4.5M | €3.5M | fell |
| Marvin Matip Bundesliga · 2017 | 32 | €1.5M | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2019 | Chievo Verona | RCD Mallorca | €1.5M | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | RCD Mallorca | Chievo Verona | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 20 Aug 2018 | Chievo Verona | RCD Mallorca | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Ternana U. | Chievo Verona | Free / loan | €700k |
| 31 Aug 2017 | Chievo Verona | Ternana U. | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 30 Aug 2017 | Ternana U. | Chievo Verona | €500k | €1.2M |
| 5 Jul 2013 | Dubnica | Ternana | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Dubnica U19 | Dubnica | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.