Volodymyr Makhankov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Volodymyr Makhankov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 6.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €211k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 608 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1219
- Opponent strength
- 1200
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €175k – €455k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -7% (IQR -38% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 608 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | GK | 7 | 608 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1200 | 1219 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | GK | 6 | 540 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1136 | 1237 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | GK | 7 | 630 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1238 | 1294 | 0.34 |
| 2021/22 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | GK | 3 | 270 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1353 | 1276 | 0.45 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleg Kudryk Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Aykut Özer Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €400k | €100k | fell |
| Carljohan Eriksson Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 28 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Vasilios Soulis Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €175k | €150k | flat |
| Yevgeniy Kucherenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €250k | €400k | rose |
| Nikolaos Melissas Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Yuriy Lodygin Super League 1 · 2021 | 31 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Giannis Anestis Super League 1 · 2022 | 31 | €500k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2023 | Kolos Kovalivka | Kryvbas | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Polissya | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €150k |
| 18 Aug 2020 | Karpaty | Polissya | Free / loan | €200k |
| 11 Mar 2020 | Without Club | Karpaty Lviv | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Without Club | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.