Yevgeniy Kucherenko

27 yrs · Goalkeeper · Ukraine
Dundee United FC · Scottish Premiership · Foot: left · Height: 192 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 Dec 2027
Market value
€400k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€168k – €358k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€440k – €1.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€189k – €563k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€82k – €1.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€168k – €358k
Model value (performance-implied)€440k – €1.2M
Projected value (24 months)€189k – €563k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yevgeniy Kucherenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.

Bargain Index: 97

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average32.7th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €204k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationNeutral-0% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €600k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2070 (70% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
33 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 26)
Team strength (Elo)
1179
Opponent strength
1194
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€189k – €563k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 24 pts; changed club; team strength up (+69 Elo); league level up (+54 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -26% to +3%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
38 (all positions)
Relative output kept
78%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
74%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Dundee United FCScottish PremiershipGK12108036%000.000.00119411770.31
2025/26Panetolikos AgrinioSuper League 1GK1199042%000.000.00124611820.43
2024/25LNZ CherkasyPremier LigaGK28252093%000.000.00119711100.28
2023/24LNZ CherkasyPremier LigaGK654020%000.000.01131411790.34

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingDundee United FC4390001332
2024/25Ukrainian CupLNZ Cherkasy112000—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Dila Gori6540001387

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Oleg Bilyk
Premier Liga · 2023
25€400k€400kflat
Jeppe Höjbjerg
Superliga · 2020
25€475k€200kfell
Oleg Mozil
Premier Liga · 2023
27€400k€300kfell
Shamal George
Scottish Premiership · 2023
25€325k€250kfell
Matej Delac
Superliga · 2019
27€400k€300kfell
Noam Baumann
Super League 1 · 2024
28€450k€325kfell
Gergely Nagy
Super League 1 · 2021
27€250k€300krose
Lefteris Choutesiotis
Super League 1 · 2021
27€350k€400kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
5 Jan 2026Dundee UnitedPanetolikos€250k€400k
1 Jul 2025LNZ CherkasyDundee United€300k€600k
22 Jan 2024FC DilaLNZ CherkasyFree / loan€250k
24 Feb 2023Kolos KovalivkaFC DilaFree / loan€250k
31 Dec 2022FC AksuKolos KovalivkaFree / loan€250k
27 Jan 2022Kolos KovalivkaFC AksuFree / loan€125k
31 Dec 2021PodillyaKolos KovalivkaFree / loan€125k
23 Jul 2021Kolos KovalivkaPodillyaFree / loan€100k
21 Feb 2020LeiriaKolos KovalivkaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2019Shakhtar IILeiriaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Shakhtar U19Shakhtar IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Shakhtar U17Shakhtar U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2016Arsenal K. U17Shakhtar U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.