
Yevgeniy Kucherenko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yevgeniy Kucherenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.
Bargain Index: 97
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 32.7th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €204k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -0% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2070 (70% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 33 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1179
- Opponent strength
- 1194
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €189k – €563k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 24 pts; changed club; team strength up (+69 Elo); league level up (+54 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -26% to +3%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 38 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 74%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dundee United FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 12 | 1080 | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1194 | 1177 | 0.31 |
| 2025/26 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | GK | 11 | 990 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1246 | 1182 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | GK | 28 | 2520 | 93% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1197 | 1110 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | GK | 6 | 540 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1314 | 1179 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Dundee United FC | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | 1332 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | LNZ Cherkasy | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Dila Gori | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1387 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleg Bilyk Premier Liga · 2023 | 25 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Jeppe Höjbjerg Superliga · 2020 | 25 | €475k | €200k | fell |
| Oleg Mozil Premier Liga · 2023 | 27 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Shamal George Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €325k | €250k | fell |
| Matej Delac Superliga · 2019 | 27 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Noam Baumann Super League 1 · 2024 | 28 | €450k | €325k | fell |
| Gergely Nagy Super League 1 · 2021 | 27 | €250k | €300k | rose |
| Lefteris Choutesiotis Super League 1 · 2021 | 27 | €350k | €400k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | Dundee United | Panetolikos | €250k | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2025 | LNZ Cherkasy | Dundee United | €300k | €600k |
| 22 Jan 2024 | FC Dila | LNZ Cherkasy | Free / loan | €250k |
| 24 Feb 2023 | Kolos Kovalivka | FC Dila | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 Dec 2022 | FC Aksu | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €250k |
| 27 Jan 2022 | Kolos Kovalivka | FC Aksu | Free / loan | €125k |
| 31 Dec 2021 | Podillya | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €125k |
| 23 Jul 2021 | Kolos Kovalivka | Podillya | Free / loan | €100k |
| 21 Feb 2020 | Leiria | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Shakhtar II | Leiria | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Shakhtar U19 | Shakhtar II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Shakhtar U17 | Shakhtar U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Arsenal K. U17 | Shakhtar U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.