
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bogdan Mykhaylichenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 48
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 40.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -45% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2668 (99% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 41 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1290
- Opponent strength
- 1160
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €846k – €2.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 21 pts; relative output down 50% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -52% to +17%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | LB | 30 | 2668 | 99% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 1160 | 1290 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | LB | 26 | 2113 | 78% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1192 | 1236 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | LB | 12 | 1013 | 38% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 1266 | 1265 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | LB | 25 | 1703 | 63% | 2 | 3 | 0.26 | 0.13 | 1271 | 1546 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 14 | 515 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1327 | 1459 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 17 | 1520 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 1349 | 1457 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | LB | 20 | 1720 | 87% | 1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 1348 | 1463 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | LB | 13 | 1063 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1285 | 1429 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018) | Premier Liga | LB | 16 | 1440 | 73% | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 1330 | 1244 | 0.62 |
| 2014/15 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LB | 1 | 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1300 | 1573 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | 1358 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 64 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 3 | 330 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1358 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 289 | 0 | 0 | 1420 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1453 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 360 | 0 | 2 | 1738 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | 1570 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RSC Anderlecht | 2 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1304 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 5 | 445 | 0 | 1 | 1482 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1550 |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018) | 2 | 150 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Santos Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €2.5M | €650k | fell |
| Jakub Brabec Super League 1 · 2022 | 30 | €2.0M | €1.8M | flat |
| Stuart Findlay Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €600k | €700k | flat |
| Sam Adekugbe Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Alin Toșca Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €2.0M | €850k | fell |
| Fran Vélez Super League 1 · 2022 | 31 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Uğur Çiftçi Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €1.8M | €2.1M | flat |
| Jores Okore Superliga · 2020 | 28 | €725k | €2.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2024 | Dinamo Zagreb | Polissya | €200k | €2.5M |
| 24 Jul 2023 | RSC Anderlecht | Dinamo Zagreb | €170k | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Shakhtar D. | RSC Anderlecht | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 27 Jul 2022 | RSC Anderlecht | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 3 Aug 2020 | Zorya Lugansk | RSC Anderlecht | €500k | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Zorya Lugansk | €1.0M | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Zorya Lugansk | Dynamo Kyiv II | Free / loan | €700k |
| 19 Jul 2018 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 Dec 2017 | Stal Kamyanske | Dynamo Kyiv II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 12 Jul 2017 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Stal Kamyanske | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.