Bogdan Mykhaylichenko

29 yrs · Left-back · Ukraine
FK Polissya Zhytomyr · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 178 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€760k – €2.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€752k – €1.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€846k – €2.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.6M – €773k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€760k – €2.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€752k – €1.5M
Projected value (24 months)€846k – €2.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Bogdan Mykhaylichenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 48

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage40.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.4M vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-45% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2668 (99% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.03
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
41 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1290
Opponent strength
1160
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€846k – €2.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 21 pts; relative output down 50% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -52% to +17%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaLB30266899%010.030.06116012900.25
2024/25FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaLB26211378%110.090.11119212360.28
2023/24FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaLB12101338%010.090.13126612650.34
2022/23FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaLB25170363%230.260.13127115460.38
2021/22RSC AnderlechtJupiler Pro LeagueLB1451517%000.000.07132714590.49
2020/21RSC AnderlechtJupiler Pro LeagueLB17152050%110.120.09134914570.55
2019/20Zorya LuganskPremier LigaLB20172087%130.210.17134814630.54
2018/19Zorya LuganskPremier LigaLB13106354%000.000.04128514290.57
2017/18PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018)Premier LigaLB16144073%020.130.19133012440.62
2014/15Dynamo KyivPremier LigaLB140%000.000.07130015730.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFK Polissya Zhytomyr4360101358
2025/26Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr16400—
2024/25Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr333001—
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingFK Polissya Zhytomyr2180001358
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingGNK Dinamo Zagreb4289001420
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingGNK Dinamo Zagreb249001453
2023/24Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr12900—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk4360021738
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk3300001570
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingRSC Anderlecht265001304
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingZorya Lugansk5445011482
2019/20Ukrainian CupZorya Lugansk112000—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingZorya Lugansk4360001550
2018/19Ukrainian CupZorya Lugansk322500—
2017/18Ukrainian CupPFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018)215000—
2014/15Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Pablo Santos
Super Lig · 2021
29€2.5M€650kfell
Jakub Brabec
Super League 1 · 2022
30€2.0M€1.8Mflat
Stuart Findlay
Scottish Premiership · 2024
29€600k€700kflat
Sam Adekugbe
Super Lig · 2022
27€2.0M€1.2Mfell
Alin Toșca
Super Lig · 2021
29€2.0M€850kfell
Fran Vélez
Super League 1 · 2022
31€1.0M€500kfell
Uğur Çiftçi
Super Lig · 2021
29€1.8M€2.1Mflat
Jores Okore
Superliga · 2020
28€725k€2.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
25 Jan 2024Dinamo ZagrebPolissya€200k€2.5M
24 Jul 2023RSC AnderlechtDinamo Zagreb€170k€4.0M
30 Jun 2023Shakhtar D.RSC AnderlechtFree / loan€4.0M
27 Jul 2022RSC AnderlechtShakhtar D.Free / loan€1.5M
3 Aug 2020Zorya LuganskRSC Anderlecht€500k€800k
1 Jul 2019Dynamo Kyiv IIZorya Lugansk€1.0M€700k
30 Jun 2019Zorya LuganskDynamo Kyiv IIFree / loan€700k
19 Jul 2018Dynamo Kyiv IIZorya LuganskFree / loan€500k
31 Dec 2017Stal KamyanskeDynamo Kyiv IIFree / loanData unavailable
12 Jul 2017Dynamo Kyiv IIStal KamyanskeFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Dynamo Kyiv U19Dynamo Kyiv IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Dynamo Kyiv U17Dynamo Kyiv U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.