
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Oleksandr Pikhalyonok's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-5.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.76x the positional average in the league (1690 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 32
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 49.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -51% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1690 (63% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.75
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 49 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1324
- Opponent strength
- 1159
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €869k – €2.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 35 pts; team strength down (-82 Elo); relative output up 73% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -63% to -41%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1690 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CM | 29 | 1690 | 63% | 2 | 12 | 0.75 | 0.39 | 1159 | 1324 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CM | 19 | 752 | 28% | 3 | 1 | 0.48 | 0.22 | 1171 | 1406 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | AM | 25 | 1982 | 73% | 5 | 5 | 0.45 | 0.37 | 1254 | 1335 | 0.34 |
| 2021/22 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | CM | 14 | 1163 | 72% | 5 | 3 | 0.62 | 0.41 | 1274 | 1365 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | CM | 14 | 1205 | 51% | 0 | 7 | 0.52 | 0.41 | 1290 | 1283 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | CM | 2 | 18 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1275 | 1619 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | CM | 19 | 1315 | 66% | 3 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 1308 | 1310 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | CM | 3 | 31 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1247 | 1296 | 0.62 |
| 2017/18 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | CM | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1224 | 1676 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | CM | 1 | 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1305 | 1636 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 229 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 218 | 0 | 0 | 1348 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 139 | 0 | 1 | 1525 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 399 | 2 | 0 | 1550 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 268 | 1 | 1 | 1504 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 169 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | SC Dnipro-1 | 2 | 208 | 1 | 0 | 1463 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Dnipro-1 | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | SC Dnipro-1 | 2 | 102 | 0 | 1 | 1538 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SC Dnipro-1 | 1 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1434 |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Dnipro-1 | 2 | 148 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Dnipro-1 | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Mariupol | 4 | 390 | 1 | 0 | 1431 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mijat Gacinovic Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Valentin Eysseric Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €1.7M | €1.0M | fell |
| Badou Ndiaye Super League 1 · 2022 | 32 | €1.8M | €700k | fell |
| Andrea Bertolacci Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €2.2M | €1.3M | fell |
| Necip Uysal Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €1.2M | €500k | fell |
| Emre Akbaba Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €4.0M | €1.3M | fell |
| Campanharo Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €1.4M | €1.2M | flat |
| Jefferson Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €1.6M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | SC Dnipro-1 | Dynamo Kyiv | €2.5M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Shakhtar D. | SC Dnipro-1 | €700k | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | SC Dnipro-1 | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €500k |
| 2 Oct 2020 | Shakhtar D. | SC Dnipro-1 | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | FC Mariupol | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €500k |
| 13 Feb 2018 | Shakhtar II | FC Mariupol | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 16 Jul 2015 | Shakhtar U19 | Shakhtar II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Shakhtar U17 | Shakhtar U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.