Oleksandr Pikhalyonok

29 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM) · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 180 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€3.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€946k – €2.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.3M – €5.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€869k – €2.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.5M – €4.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€946k – €2.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €5.5M
Projected value (24 months)€869k – €2.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Oleksandr Pikhalyonok's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-5.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.76x the positional average in the league (1690 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 32

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage49.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.7M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-51% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1690 (63% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.75
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.39
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
49 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1324
Opponent strength
1159
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€869k – €2.6M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 35 pts; team strength down (-82 Elo); relative output up 73% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -63% to -41%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1690 league minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM29169063%2120.750.39115913240.25
2024/25Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM1975228%310.480.22117114060.28
2023/24SC Dnipro-1Premier LigaAM25198273%550.450.37125413350.34
2021/22SC Dnipro-1Premier LigaCM14116372%530.620.41127413650.45
2020/21SC Dnipro-1Premier LigaCM14120551%070.520.41129012830.49
2019/20FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaCM2181%000.000.11127516190.54
2018/19FK MariupolPremier LigaCM19131566%300.210.26130813100.57
2017/18FK MariupolPremier LigaCM3312%000.000.26124712960.62
2017/18FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaCM110%000.000.12122416760.62
2016/17FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaCM1110%000.000.14130516360.56

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv422920—
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv3218001348
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv2139011525
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv6399201550
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv5268111504
2024/25Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv316910—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingSC Dnipro-12208101463
2023/24Ukrainian CupSC Dnipro-1112000—
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingSC Dnipro-12102011538
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingSC Dnipro-1168001434
2021/22Ukrainian CupSC Dnipro-1214811—
2020/21Ukrainian CupSC Dnipro-1112000—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingFK Mariupol4390101431

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Mijat Gacinovic
Super League 1 · 2023
28€3.5M€2.0Mfell
Valentin Eysseric
Super Lig · 2022
30€1.7M€1.0Mfell
Badou Ndiaye
Super League 1 · 2022
32€1.8M€700kfell
Andrea Bertolacci
Super Lig · 2021
30€2.2M€1.3Mfell
Necip Uysal
Super Lig · 2021
30€1.2M€500kfell
Emre Akbaba
Super Lig · 2022
30€4.0M€1.3Mfell
Campanharo
Super Lig · 2021
29€1.4M€1.2Mflat
Jefferson
Super Lig · 2021
27€1.6M€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024SC Dnipro-1Dynamo Kyiv€2.5M€5.0M
1 Jul 2021Shakhtar D.SC Dnipro-1€700k€500k
30 Jun 2021SC Dnipro-1Shakhtar D.Free / loan€500k
2 Oct 2020Shakhtar D.SC Dnipro-1Free / loan€500k
30 Jun 2019FC MariupolShakhtar D.Free / loan€500k
13 Feb 2018Shakhtar IIFC MariupolFree / loanData unavailable
16 Jul 2015Shakhtar U19Shakhtar IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Shakhtar U17Shakhtar U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Oleksandr Pikhalyonok · MoneyballAI