Joe Rodon
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Joe Rodon's performance-implied value at EUR 5.9M-14.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.7M-24.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.0M-17.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 12
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 86.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €17.7M vs market €18.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2954 (86% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 86 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1521
- Opponent strength
- 1611
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €8.0M – €17.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -59% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Leeds United | Premier League | CB | 35 | 2954 | 86% | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1611 | 1521 | 1.30 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 16 | 1418 | 41% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 1441 | 1562 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 3 | 87 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1481 | 1659 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 12 | 732 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1578 | 1647 | 1.19 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 3 | 127 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1481 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 103 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 91 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iñigo Martínez Laliga · 2020 | 29 | €25.5M | €25.0M | flat |
| Steve Cook Premier League · 2019 | 28 | €10.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Yuri Berchiche Laliga · 2020 | 30 | €16.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Eric Dier Premier League · 2023 | 29 | €18.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Aïssa Mandi Laliga · 2019 | 28 | €16.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Hugo Mallo Laliga · 2019 | 28 | €15.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Ethan Pinnock Premier League · 2022 | 29 | €12.0M | €12.0M | flat |
| Timothy Castagne Premier League · 2024 | 29 | €17.0M | €8.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2024 | Tottenham | Leeds | €11.8M | €8.0M |
| 31 May 2024 | Leeds | Tottenham | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 10 Aug 2023 | Tottenham | Leeds | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Stade Rennais | Tottenham | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Aug 2022 | Tottenham | Stade Rennais | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 16 Oct 2020 | Swansea | Tottenham | €12.1M | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Swansea U23 | Swansea | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2018 | Cheltenham | Swansea U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jan 2018 | Swansea U23 | Cheltenham | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Swansea U18 | Swansea U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Swansea Yth. | Swansea U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.