Andrea Pinamonti

27 yrs · Striker · Italy
US Sassuolo · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€15.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€6.4M – €15.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€8.0M – €26.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€5.5M – €16.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€7.2M – €20.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€6.4M – €15.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€8.0M – €26.6M
Projected value (24 months)€5.5M – €16.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Andrea Pinamonti's performance-implied value at EUR 8.0M-26.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.4M-15.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.5M-16.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.25x the positional average in the league (2575 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 71

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh79th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €8.5M vs market €15.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-31% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €20.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2575 (75% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.45
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.64
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
79 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1406
Opponent strength
1507
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€5.5M – €16.2M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output up 44% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -49% (IQR -65% to -13%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26US SassuoloSerie AST36257575%940.450.64150714050.93
2024/25Genoa CFCSerie AST36286084%1010.350.46149414440.99
2023/24US SassuoloSerie AST38309791%1120.380.55148813300.98
2022/23US SassuoloSerie AST32217464%510.250.34145214200.94
2021/22FC EmpoliSerie AST36287284%1320.470.59147113310.89
2020/21Inter MilanSerie AST81645%100.550.25139417480.90
2019/20Genoa CFCSerie AST32224166%520.280.44145113240.82
2018/19Frosinone CalcioSerie AST27162247%530.440.70148112250.78
2017/18Inter MilanSerie AST1130%000.000.37138115650.86
2016/17Inter MilanSerie AST2191%000.000.44148015280.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Italy CupUS Sassuolo13000—
2024/25Italy CupGenoa CFC18010—
2023/24Italy CupUS Sassuolo210510—
2021/22Italy CupFC Empoli14600—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan15001615
2020/21Italy CupInter Milan1400—
2019/20Italy CupGenoa CFC218021—
2017/18Italy CupInter Milan14600—
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueInter Milan180001589

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Borja Mayoral
Laliga · 2024
27€15.0M€6.0Mfell
Franck Honorat
Bundesliga · 2024
28€12.0M€7.0Mfell
Alessio Cerci
Serie A · 2013
26€10.0M€10.0Mflat
Iago Aspas
Laliga · 2013
26€9.0M€4.0Mfell
Duván Zapata
Serie A · 2018
27€20.0M€36.0Mrose
Andrea Belotti
Serie A · 2021
28€35.0M€8.0Mfell
Éder
Serie A · 2015
29€12.0M€10.0Mflat
Raúl de Tomás
Laliga · 2022
28€25.0M€2.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2025GenoaSassuoloFree / loan€15.0M
16 Aug 2024SassuoloGenoaFree / loan€15.0M
1 Jul 2023InterSassuolo€20.0M€15.0M
30 Jun 2023SassuoloInterFree / loan€15.0M
11 Aug 2022InterSassuoloFree / loan€20.0M
30 Jun 2022FC EmpoliInterFree / loan€20.0M
25 Aug 2021InterFC EmpoliFree / loan€12.0M
18 Sept 2020GenoaInter€21.0M€13.5M
1 Sept 2020InterGenoa€19.5M€13.5M
31 Aug 2020GenoaInterFree / loan€13.5M
1 Jul 2019InterGenoaFree / loan€10.0M
30 Jun 2019FrosinoneInterFree / loan€10.0M
17 Aug 2018InterFrosinoneFree / loan€2.0M
13 Jan 2017Inter U19InterUnknown€500k
1 Jul 2015Inter U17Inter U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Inter YouthInter U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Chievo YouthInter YouthUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.