
Andrea Pinamonti
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Andrea Pinamonti's performance-implied value at EUR 8.0M-26.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.4M-15.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.5M-16.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.25x the positional average in the league (2575 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 71
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 79th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €8.5M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2575 (75% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.45
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.64
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 79 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1406
- Opponent strength
- 1507
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.5M – €16.2M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output up 44% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -49% (IQR -65% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | ST | 36 | 2575 | 75% | 9 | 4 | 0.45 | 0.64 | 1507 | 1405 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | ST | 36 | 2860 | 84% | 10 | 1 | 0.35 | 0.46 | 1494 | 1444 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | ST | 38 | 3097 | 91% | 11 | 2 | 0.38 | 0.55 | 1488 | 1330 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | ST | 32 | 2174 | 64% | 5 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.34 | 1452 | 1420 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | FC Empoli | Serie A | ST | 36 | 2872 | 84% | 13 | 2 | 0.47 | 0.59 | 1471 | 1331 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Inter Milan | Serie A | ST | 8 | 164 | 5% | 1 | 0 | 0.55 | 0.25 | 1394 | 1748 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | ST | 32 | 2241 | 66% | 5 | 2 | 0.28 | 0.44 | 1451 | 1324 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Frosinone Calcio | Serie A | ST | 27 | 1622 | 47% | 5 | 3 | 0.44 | 0.70 | 1481 | 1225 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Inter Milan | Serie A | ST | 1 | 13 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1381 | 1565 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | Inter Milan | Serie A | ST | 2 | 19 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.44 | 1480 | 1528 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 1 | 80 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 2 | 105 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | FC Empoli | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1615 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 2 | 180 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Inter Milan | 1 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1589 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borja Mayoral Laliga · 2024 | 27 | €15.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Franck Honorat Bundesliga · 2024 | 28 | €12.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Alessio Cerci Serie A · 2013 | 26 | €10.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Iago Aspas Laliga · 2013 | 26 | €9.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Duván Zapata Serie A · 2018 | 27 | €20.0M | €36.0M | rose |
| Andrea Belotti Serie A · 2021 | 28 | €35.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Éder Serie A · 2015 | 29 | €12.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Raúl de Tomás Laliga · 2022 | 28 | €25.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2025 | Genoa | Sassuolo | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 16 Aug 2024 | Sassuolo | Genoa | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Inter | Sassuolo | €20.0M | €15.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Sassuolo | Inter | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 11 Aug 2022 | Inter | Sassuolo | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | FC Empoli | Inter | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 25 Aug 2021 | Inter | FC Empoli | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 18 Sept 2020 | Genoa | Inter | €21.0M | €13.5M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Inter | Genoa | €19.5M | €13.5M |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Genoa | Inter | Free / loan | €13.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Inter | Genoa | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Frosinone | Inter | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 17 Aug 2018 | Inter | Frosinone | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 13 Jan 2017 | Inter U19 | Inter | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Inter U17 | Inter U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Inter Youth | Inter U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Chievo Youth | Inter Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.