Olivier Boscagli
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Olivier Boscagli's performance-implied value at EUR 9.8M-27.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.3M-19.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.4M-11.0M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | High | 89th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €13.2M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 800 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 89 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1611
- Opponent strength
- 1589
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.4M – €11.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 61 pts; changed club; league level up (+297 Elo); relative output down 30% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -64% (IQR -71% to -49%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 800 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | CB | 12 | 800 | 23% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 1589 | 1611 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CB | 30 | 2574 | 84% | 1 | 6 | 0.24 | 0.10 | 1286 | 1632 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CB | 33 | 2838 | 93% | 3 | 4 | 0.22 | 0.08 | 1338 | 1659 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CB | 7 | 215 | 7% | 1 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.09 | 1287 | 1649 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CB | 28 | 2357 | 77% | 4 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 1336 | 1641 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CB | 30 | 2561 | 84% | 2 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.07 | 1336 | 1567 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | LB | 12 | 636 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1385 | 1553 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | LB | 13 | 774 | 23% | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 1427 | 1453 | 0.82 |
| 2016/17 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | CB | 1 | 41 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1711 | 1568 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | CB | 11 | 774 | 23% | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 1411 | 1480 | 0.78 |
| 2014/15 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | LB | 2 | 174 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1379 | 1377 | 0.80 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2 | 108 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 914 | 0 | 0 | 1659 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 119 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 614 | 0 | 0 | 1636 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 353 | 0 | 0 | 1442 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1639 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 508 | 0 | 0 | 1489 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 388 | 0 | 0 | 1506 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1722 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 623 | 0 | 0 | 1521 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1410 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 91 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1527 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1464 |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1746 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | OGC Nice | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1736 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | OGC Nice | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1580 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Doherty Premier League · 2021 | 29 | €16.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Rob Holding Premier League · 2022 | 27 | €10.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Kenny Tete Premier League · 2024 | 29 | €15.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Matt Targett Premier League · 2023 | 28 | €13.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Ricardo Pereira Premier League · 2021 | 28 | €30.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Álex Moreno Premier League · 2024 | 31 | €13.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Shkodran Mustafi Premier League · 2020 | 28 | €12.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Emerson Premier League · 2023 | 29 | €12.0M | €10.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2025 | PSV | Brighton | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 17 Jul 2019 | Nice | PSV | €2.0M | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Nîmes Olympique | Nice | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 23 Aug 2017 | Nice | Nîmes Olympique | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | OGC Nice B | Nice | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | OGC Nice U17 | OGC Nice B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.