Zan Zuzek

29 yrs · Centre-back · Slovenia
Gençlerbirliği Spor Kulübü · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 186 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€700k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€190k – €505k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€313k – €744k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€369k – €718k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€192k – €554k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€190k – €505k
Model value (performance-implied)€313k – €744k
Projected value (24 months)€369k – €718k
Dashed line: current market value (€700k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Zan Zuzek's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 91

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average8.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €254k vs market €700k
Expected appreciationLow-18% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €700k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2744 (90% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.13
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
8 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1161
Opponent strength
1282
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€369k – €718k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -7% (IQR -19% to +6%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Gençlerbirliği Spor KulübüSuper LigCB33274490%210.100.13128211600.40

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Franco Ferrari
Super League 1 · 2022
30€600k€500kflat
Igor Kurylo
Premier Liga · 2023
30€400k€300kfell
Nicky Devlin
Scottish Premiership · 2023
30€700k€500kfell
Mykyta Bezuglyi
Premier Liga · 2023
28€500k€500kflat
Dimitrios Goutas
Super League 1 · 2021
27€700k€2.7Mrose
Marvin Peersman
Super League 1 · 2021
30€400k€500krose
Michalis Boukouvalas
Super League 1 · 2016
28€600k€600kflat
Rasmus Minor Petersen
Superliga · 2018
30€350k€300kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
8 Aug 2024BariGenclerbirligiUnknown€200k
23 Aug 2022FC KoperBari€250k€500k
1 Jul 2019NK DomzaleFC KoperFree / loan€250k
1 Jul 2016NK Domzale U19NK DomzaleUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.