
Maksym Zaderaka
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Maksym Zaderaka's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.84x the positional average in the league (2395 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 53
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 38.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €195k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -49% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2395 (89% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.34
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.34
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 38 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1219
- Opponent strength
- 1155
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €120k – €508k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 45 pts; role change RW -> AM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -71% to -38%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | AM | 27 | 2395 | 89% | 7 | 2 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 1155 | 1219 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | RW | 23 | 1177 | 44% | 2 | 2 | 0.31 | 0.37 | 1212 | 1237 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | RW | 27 | 1705 | 63% | 7 | 3 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 1264 | 1294 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | RW | 26 | 1608 | 60% | 2 | 4 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 1277 | 1236 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier Liga | AM | 10 | 315 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.39 | 1243 | 1174 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RW | 7 | 176 | 8% | 0 | 1 | 0.51 | 0.38 | 1301 | 1285 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RM | 15 | 615 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1368 | 1356 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RM | 18 | 965 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1337 | 1384 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018) | Premier Liga | RM | 10 | 638 | 32% | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 1349 | 1244 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018) | Premier Liga | LM | 22 | 1307 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1302 | 1288 | 0.56 |
| 2014/15 | Metalurg Donetsk (- 2015) | Premier Liga | RW | 5 | 50 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.35 | 1349 | 1324 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | 2 | 153 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | 1 | 78 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 2 | 86 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 42 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 143 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | FC Oleksandriya | 3 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1520 |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018) | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018) | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Ukrainian Cup | Metalurg Donetsk (- 2015) | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graeme Shinnie Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 33 | €350k | €100k | fell |
| Matty Kennedy Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 30 | €350k | €100k | fell |
| Scott Tanser Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 30 | €500k | €150k | fell |
| Juan Domínguez Super League 1 · 2022 | 32 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Nuri Sahin Super Lig · 2021 | 33 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Stephen O'Donnell Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 32 | €300k | €50k | fell |
| Vyacheslav Tankovskyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Elini Dimoutsos Super League 1 · 2019 | 31 | €400k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Kryvbas | Without Club | Unknown | €600k |
| 11 Jul 2022 | Metalist 1925 | Kryvbas | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Ararat Yerevan | Metalist 1925 | Free / loan | €250k |
| 3 Feb 2021 | FC Oleksandriya | Ararat Yerevan | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Stal Kamyanske | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | PFC Stal II | Stal Kamyanske | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 17 Jul 2015 | Metalurg II | PFC Stal II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2011 | Metalurg D. U17 | Metalurg II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 8 Sept 2010 | Ametyst-2001 | Metalurg D. U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.