Maksym Zaderaka

32 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also LM, RM, RW) · Ukraine
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 171 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€600k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€146k – €409k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€398k – €654k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€120k – €508k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€12k – €508k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€146k – €409k
Model value (performance-implied)€398k – €654k
Projected value (24 months)€120k – €508k
Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Maksym Zaderaka's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.84x the positional average in the league (2395 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 53

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage38.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €195k vs market €600k
Expected appreciationVery low-49% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €900k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2395 (89% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.34
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.34
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
38 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1219
Opponent strength
1155
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€120k – €508k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 45 pts; role change RW -> AM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -71% to -38%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Kryvbas Kryvyi RigPremier LigaAM27239589%720.340.34115512190.25
2024/25Kryvbas Kryvyi RigPremier LigaRW23117744%220.310.37121212370.28
2023/24Kryvbas Kryvyi RigPremier LigaRW27170563%730.530.48126412940.34
2022/23Kryvbas Kryvyi RigPremier LigaRW26160860%240.340.41127712360.38
2021/22TOV FK Metalist 1925 KharkivPremier LigaAM1031519%000.000.39124311740.45
2020/21FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaRW71768%010.510.38130112850.49
2019/20FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaRM1561531%000.000.17136813560.54
2018/19FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaRM1896549%000.000.13133713840.57
2017/18PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018)Premier LigaRM1063832%010.140.23134912440.62
2016/17PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018)Premier LigaLM22130745%000.000.11130212880.56
2014/15Metalurg Donetsk (- 2015)Premier LigaRW5502%000.000.35134913240.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupKryvbas Kryvyi Rig215300—
2024/25Ukrainian CupKryvbas Kryvyi Rig17810—
2021/22Ukrainian CupTOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv28601—
2020/21Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya24210—
2019/20Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya214300—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueFC Oleksandriya327101520
2017/18Ukrainian CupPFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018)17800—
2016/17Ukrainian CupPFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018)19000—
2014/15Ukrainian CupMetalurg Donetsk (- 2015)19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Graeme Shinnie
Scottish Premiership · 2024
33€350k€100kfell
Matty Kennedy
Scottish Premiership · 2024
30€350k€100kfell
Scott Tanser
Scottish Premiership · 2024
30€500k€150kfell
Juan Domínguez
Super League 1 · 2022
32€400k€250kfell
Nuri Sahin
Super Lig · 2021
33€1.0M€1.0Mflat
Stephen O'Donnell
Scottish Premiership · 2024
32€300k€50kfell
Vyacheslav Tankovskyi
Premier Liga · 2024
29€1.0M€600kfell
Elini Dimoutsos
Super League 1 · 2019
31€400k€250kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026KryvbasWithout ClubUnknown€600k
11 Jul 2022Metalist 1925KryvbasFree / loan€200k
1 Jul 2021Ararat YerevanMetalist 1925Free / loan€250k
3 Feb 2021FC OleksandriyaArarat YerevanFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2018Stal KamyanskeFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€200k
1 Jul 2016PFC Stal IIStal KamyanskeUnknownData unavailable
17 Jul 2015Metalurg IIPFC Stal IIFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2011Metalurg D. U17Metalurg IIUnknownData unavailable
8 Sept 2010Ametyst-2001Metalurg D. U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Maksym Zaderaka · MoneyballAI