Unai Núñez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Unai Núñez's performance-implied value at EUR 2.9M-5.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.7M-3.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-3.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 17
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 72.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.6M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -46% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2177 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 73 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1364
- Opponent strength
- 1507
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €3.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 45 pts; changed club; team strength down (-214 Elo); relative output up 94% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -43% (IQR -59% to -31%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | CB | 17 | 1265 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1507 | 1269 | 0.93 |
| 2025/26 | Valencia CF | Laliga | CB | 13 | 912 | 27% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 1497 | 1496 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 10 | 645 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1532 | 1578 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | CB | 34 | 2803 | 82% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 1493 | 1449 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | CB | 36 | 3151 | 92% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 1517 | 1441 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 9 | 620 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1563 | 1551 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 25 | 2107 | 62% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 1531 | 1541 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 20 | 1569 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1588 | 1543 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 13 | 1096 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1544 | 1540 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 33 | 2942 | 86% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 1567 | 1490 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Hellas Verona | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 280 | 0 | 2 | 1522 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 3 | 244 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 323 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Supercopa | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 115 | 0 | 0 | 1796 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 6 | 485 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Athletic Bilbao | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | 1483 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Ceccherini Serie A · 2021 | 29 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Adama Soumaoro Serie A · 2021 | 29 | €4.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Kevin Mbabu Bundesliga · 2024 | 29 | €4.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Giovanni González Laliga · 2024 | 30 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Edoardo Goldaniga Serie A · 2021 | 28 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
| Arnaud Souquet Ligue 1 · 2022 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Fernando Amorebieta Premier League · 2014 | 29 | €6.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Ricardo Rodríguez Serie A · 2022 | 30 | €3.4M | €3.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Valencia | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Celta de Vigo | Valencia | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Hellas Verona | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 25 Jul 2025 | Celta de Vigo | Hellas Verona | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Athletic Club | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 28 Aug 2024 | Celta de Vigo | Athletic Club | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Athletic Club | Celta de Vigo | €7.0M | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Celta de Vigo | Athletic Club | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 20 Jul 2022 | Athletic Club | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Bilbao Athletic | Athletic Club | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | CD Basconia | Bilbao Athletic | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Bilbao U19 | CD Basconia | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Bilbao U18 | Bilbao U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Bilbao Youth | Bilbao U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.