Ricardo Rodríguez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ricardo Rodríguez's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-3.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 76.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €874k vs market €1.4M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -49% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1546 (45% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 76 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1549
- Opponent strength
- 1485
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €393k – €978k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -62% (IQR -75% to -50%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1546 league minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | LB | 23 | 1546 | 45% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1485 | 1549 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | LB | 18 | 1279 | 37% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1462 | 1555 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 35 | 2784 | 81% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 1485 | 1510 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 35 | 2675 | 78% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1464 | 1468 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 34 | 2472 | 72% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1479 | 1423 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Torino FC | Serie A | LB | 16 | 1246 | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1432 | 1373 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | LB | 6 | 448 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1413 | 1553 | 0.62 |
| 2019/20 | AC Milan | Serie A | LB | 5 | 387 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1385 | 1590 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | AC Milan | Serie A | LB | 35 | 3050 | 89% | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1465 | 1538 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | AC Milan | Serie A | LB | 34 | 3005 | 88% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1462 | 1555 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 24 | 2019 | 66% | 2 | 3 | 0.22 | 0.16 | 1540 | 1490 | 1.06 |
| 2015/16 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | LB | 24 | 2067 | 68% | 2 | 3 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 1533 | 1575 | 1.02 |
| 2014/15 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | LB | 26 | 2294 | 75% | 6 | 5 | 0.43 | 0.26 | 1536 | 1666 | 1.03 |
| 2013/14 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | LB | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 5 | 9 | 0.41 | 0.27 | 1555 | 1580 | 1.03 |
| 2012/13 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | LB | 24 | 1708 | 56% | 0 | 6 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 1453 | 1534 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Real Betis Balompié | 9 | 675 | 0 | 0 | 1475 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Switzerland | 3 | 269 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 3 | 240 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Real Betis Balompié | 2 | 107 | 0 | 0 | 1277 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 209 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 3 | 261 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 125 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | AC Milan | 3 | 265 | 0 | 1 | 1504 |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | AC Milan | 2 | 125 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Supercoppa Italiana | AC Milan | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1839 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | AC Milan | 7 | 544 | 2 | 2 | 1514 |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | AC Milan | 4 | 420 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AC Milan | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | 1339 |
| 2016/17 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 736 | 1 | 1 | 1663 |
| 2015/16 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 167 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1793 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 786 | 3 | 0 | 1566 |
| 2014/15 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 373 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 295 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2012/13 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 194 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Paulista Laliga · 2024 | 34 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Henri Bedimo Ligue 1 · 2017 | 33 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Filip Daems Bundesliga · 2013 | 35 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Vitaliy Kaleshin Premier Liga · 2013 | 33 | €850k | €300k | fell |
| Julien Escudé Super Lig · 2013 | 34 | €1.0M | €800k | fell |
| Nathaniel Clyne Premier League · 2024 | 33 | €1.5M | €300k | fell |
| Sascha Riether Bundesliga · 2016 | 33 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Kiko Femenía Laliga · 2024 | 33 | €1.4M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2024 | Torino | Real Betis | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | AC Milan | Torino | €1.9M | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | PSV | AC Milan | Free / loan | €5.5M |
| 30 Jan 2020 | AC Milan | PSV | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Wolfsburg | AC Milan | €15.0M | €17.0M |
| 13 Jan 2012 | FC Zürich | Wolfsburg | €8.5M | €7.5M |
| 1 Jan 2010 | FC Zürich U21 | FC Zürich | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | FC Zürich U17 | FC Zürich U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | FC Zürich U16 | FC Zürich U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | FC Zürich Yth. | FC Zürich U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.