Cameron Carter-Vickers

28 yrs · Centre-back · United States
Celtic FC · Scottish Premiership · Foot: right · Height: 183 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 May 2029
Market value
€9.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€2.9M – €8.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.2M – €3.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.5M – €6.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€7.7M – €757k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.9M – €8.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €3.7M
Projected value (24 months)€2.5M – €6.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€9.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Cameron Carter-Vickers's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-3.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.9M-8.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-6.6M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAbove average59.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €6.8M vs market €9.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-58% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €14.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
630 (21% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.03
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
59 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 26)
Team strength (Elo)
1406
Opponent strength
1213
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.5M – €6.6M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 58 pts; team strength down (-106 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -70% to -46%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 630 league minutes last season.
  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
16 (DEF)
Relative output kept
90%–275%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
75%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Celtic FCScottish PremiershipCB763021%000.000.03121314060.31
2024/25Celtic FCScottish PremiershipCB27234879%100.040.02122415120.34
2023/24Celtic FCScottish PremiershipCB21161554%110.110.05120615110.34
2022/23Celtic FCScottish PremiershipCB29261088%000.000.01129615880.40
2021/22Celtic FCScottish PremiershipCB28252085%410.180.07129115750.50

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueCeltic FC3270001471
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingCeltic FC2210001435
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueCeltic FC7607001601
2024/25Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC439001—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueCeltic FC4298001638
2023/24Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC221000—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueCeltic FC4360001662
2022/23Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC327010—
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueCeltic FC5450001524
2021/22Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC328400—
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingTottenham Hotspur187001335
2020/21Fa CupAFC Bournemouth327000—
2018/19Fa CupSwansea City327000—
2017/18Fa CupSheffield United19000—
2016/17Fa CupTottenham Hotspur218000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Omar Elabdellaoui
Super Lig · 2021
30€3.0M€900kfell
Christian Luyindama
Super Lig · 2020
26€5.5M€2.0Mfell
Arthur Masuaku
Super Lig · 2024
31€4.2M€2.0Mfell
Luan Peres
Super Lig · 2023
29€5.0M€1.0Mfell
Igor Diveev
Premier Liga · 2024
25€6.0M€10.0Mrose
Georgiy Dzhikiya
Premier Liga · 2024
31€3.5M€1.0Mfell
Samet Akaydin
Super Lig · 2024
30€2.5M€1.2Mfell
Valentin Rosier
Super Lig · 2024
28€4.0M€3.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2022TottenhamCeltic€7.0M€7.0M
31 May 2022CelticTottenhamFree / loan€3.0M
31 Aug 2021TottenhamCelticFree / loan€2.0M
31 May 2021BournemouthTottenhamFree / loan€2.0M
16 Oct 2020TottenhamBournemouthFree / loan€2.0M
31 Jul 2020LutonTottenhamFree / loan€2.0M
30 Jan 2020TottenhamLutonFree / loan€2.5M
2 Jan 2020Stoke CityTottenhamFree / loan€2.5M
8 Aug 2019TottenhamStoke CityFree / loan€1.5M
31 May 2019SwanseaTottenhamFree / loan€1.5M
25 Aug 2018TottenhamSwanseaFree / loan€1.0M
31 May 2018IpswichTottenhamFree / loan€1.0M
19 Jan 2018TottenhamIpswichFree / loan€500k
15 Jan 2018Sheff UtdTottenhamFree / loan€500k
25 Aug 2017TottenhamSheff UtdFree / loan€500k
1 Jul 2016Tottenham U23TottenhamUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Spurs U18Tottenham U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Tottenham Yth.Spurs U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.