
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ivan Kalyuzhnyi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-2.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (2425 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 62
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 30th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2425 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 30 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1186
- Opponent strength
- 1181
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €706k – €2.1M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-123 Elo); role change DM -> CM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -41% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier Liga | CM | 27 | 2425 | 90% | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 1181 | 1186 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | DM | 27 | 2388 | 88% | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 1201 | 1309 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CM | 16 | 1151 | 43% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1279 | 1218 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | CM | 8 | 612 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1298 | 1179 | 0.34 |
| 2020/21 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CM | 5 | 87 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1181 | 1285 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | DM | 3 | 86 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1273 | 1231 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 4 | 337 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 32 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayane Aabid Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €1.5M | €600k | fell |
| Haris Hajradinovic Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €3.2M | €2.5M | fell |
| Joe Newell Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 31 | €850k | €200k | fell |
| Djihad Bizimana Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €800k | €850k | flat |
| Vadym Vitenchuk Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €600k | €400k | fell |
| Eder González Super League 1 · 2023 | 26 | €700k | €800k | flat |
| Zisis Karachalios Super League 1 · 2023 | 27 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Amr Warda Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | FC Oleksandriya | Metalist 1925 | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Dec 2023 | LNZ Cherkasy | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Aug 2023 | FC Oleksandriya | LNZ Cherkasy | Free / loan | €550k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Kerala Blasters | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €550k |
| 18 Jul 2022 | FC Oleksandriya | Kerala Blasters | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Keflavík | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €400k |
| 18 Apr 2022 | FC Oleksandriya | Keflavík | Free / loan | €400k |
| 12 Feb 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv II | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 Dec 2020 | Rukh Lviv | Dynamo Kyiv II | Free / loan | €300k |
| 24 Jul 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Rukh Lviv | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Metalist 1925 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Metalist 1925 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2015 | Metalist U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.