Petar Micin
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Petar Micin's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.18x the positional average in the league (983 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 90
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 27.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €330k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 983 (36% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.46
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.47
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 28 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1192
- Opponent strength
- 1172
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €254k – €725k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 48 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -42% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 983 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | AM | 17 | 983 | 36% | 2 | 3 | 0.46 | 0.47 | 1172 | 1192 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | AM | 29 | 2280 | 84% | 9 | 3 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 1199 | 1182 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | AM | 21 | 867 | 32% | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 1240 | 1235 | 0.34 |
| 2020/21 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | AM | 1 | 14 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 1629 | 1387 | 0.90 |
| 2018/19 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | AM | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 1353 | 1355 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 142 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 169 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1542 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavlo Orikhovskyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Aias Aosman Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Juan Muñiz Super League 1 · 2021 | 29 | €450k | €450k | flat |
| Talles Brener Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Keanu Baccus Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €900k | €700k | fell |
| Oleg Ilyin Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Graham Carey Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 26 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Ryan Strain Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €850k | €450k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Zorya Lugansk | Without Club | Unknown | €600k |
| 2 Aug 2023 | Radnicki Nis | Zorya Lugansk | €150k | €250k |
| 1 Jan 2023 | Napredak | Radnicki Nis | Free / loan | €300k |
| 11 Jul 2022 | Udinese | Napredak | Unknown | €175k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | SKF Sered | Udinese | Free / loan | €175k |
| 8 Sept 2021 | Udinese | SKF Sered | Free / loan | €350k |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Cukaricki | Udinese | Free / loan | €600k |
| 2 Sept 2019 | Udinese | Cukaricki | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Cukaricki | Udinese | €2.5M | €1.3M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Chievo U19 | Cukaricki | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 31 Jan 2018 | Cukaricki | Chievo U19 | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 31 Aug 2017 | Vojvodina | Cukaricki | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Vojvodina U19 | Vojvodina | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.