Bakhtiyor Zaynutdinov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bakhtiyor Zaynutdinov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.7M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 26.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -35% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 520 (19% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 26 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1423
- Opponent strength
- 1337
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €826k – €2.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -54% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 520 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 48%–200%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | CB | 8 | 520 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1337 | 1423 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CB | 9 | 344 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1229 | 1340 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | LB | 27 | 1626 | 48% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1270 | 1336 | 0.45 |
| 2023/24 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | LM | 3 | 215 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1326 | 1403 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | CB | 21 | 1653 | 61% | 1 | 3 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 1304 | 1447 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | CM | 22 | 1359 | 50% | 3 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.17 | 1336 | 1363 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | LB | 18 | 1209 | 45% | 1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 1332 | 1383 | 0.55 |
| 2020/21 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | LW | 4 | 335 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 1407 | 1316 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | RW | 17 | 1042 | 39% | 4 | 2 | 0.52 | 0.46 | 1410 | 1374 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | AM | 10 | 396 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1437 | 1402 | 0.69 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 2 | 111 | 0 | 1 | 1587 |
| 2023/24 | Russian Super Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 1 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1582 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 2 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 1418 |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 1 | 45 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 6 | 458 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 4 | 164 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | PFK CSKA Moskva | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1519 |
| 2020/21 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 1 | 73 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 2 | 103 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | FC Astana | 5 | 421 | 1 | 1 | 1441 |
| 2018/19 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 2 | 139 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Astana | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1421 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Astana | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1219 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro Eredivisie · 2023 | 26 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
| Ritchie De Laet Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 30 | €1.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| Simon Poulsen Eredivisie · 2014 | 30 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Mert Çetin Super Lig · 2023 | 26 | €1.2M | €700k | fell |
| Ricardo van Rhijn Eredivisie · 2019 | 28 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Milos Satara Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Panagiotis Retsos Super League 1 · 2023 | 25 | €2.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Tiago Ilori Liga Portugal · 2020 | 27 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2025 | Besiktas | Dynamo Moscow | €2.5M | €3.0M |
| 21 Aug 2023 | CSKA Moscow | Besiktas | €4.5M | €6.0M |
| 25 Aug 2020 | Rostov | CSKA Moscow | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| 12 Jan 2019 | FC Astana | Rostov | €115k | €1.2M |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Taraz | FC Astana | €46k | €500k |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Taraz-M | Taraz | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Taraz U19 | Taraz-M | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.