Panagiotis Retsos

28 yrs · Centre-back · Greece
Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 186 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€7.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.0M – €8.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.2M – €8.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.8M – €7.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€6.7M – €5.9M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.0M – €8.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €8.9M
Projected value (24 months)€2.8M – €7.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Panagiotis Retsos's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-8.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.0M-8.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.8M-7.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 50

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average72th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.9 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €5.1M vs market €7.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-27% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €18.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1730 (74% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
72 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1550
Opponent strength
1226
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.8M – €7.8M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 31 pts; league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 32% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -7% (IQR -27% to +5%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1730 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
55%–230%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CB20173074%200.100.06122615500.43
2024/25Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CB14100543%110.180.09128515250.35
2023/24Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CB20146663%000.000.02123714900.42
2022/23Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CB635215%000.000.03115614460.37
2022/23Hellas VeronaSerie ACB21214%000.000.07145613570.94
2021/22Hellas VeronaSerie ACB5522%000.000.09153114410.89
2021/22Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaCB4281%000.000.07165816391.05
2020/21AS Saint-ÉtienneLigue 1CB42738%000.000.07154113710.75
2019/20Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaCB31144%000.000.04144116541.06
2017/18Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaCB24171456%130.210.12149115691.04
2017/18Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CB21807%000.000.04123014840.48
2016/17Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CB18133349%000.000.02127915200.44

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios9806001662
2025/26Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios211310—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios9673001511
2024/25Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios533500—
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios6540001477
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4307101412
2023/24Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios19000—
2022/23Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios327000—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4233001464
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen3103001413
2021/22Dfb PokalBayer 04 Leverkusen19000—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen299001526
2019/20Dfb PokalBayer 04 Leverkusen15900—
2019/20Fa CupSheffield United11400—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen131001482
2017/18Uefa Champions League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4360001444
2017/18Dfb PokalBayer 04 Leverkusen418700—
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios7630001494
2016/17Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios862900—
2016/17Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios1120001330

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Dmitriy Chistyakov
Premier Liga · 2022
28€4.0M€1.8Mfell
Greg Taylor
Scottish Premiership · 2023
26€6.5M€6.0Mflat
Nick Viergever
Eredivisie · 2017
28€4.0M€4.0Mflat
Alistair Johnston
Scottish Premiership · 2024
26€8.5M€8.0Mflat
Sergiy Kryvtsov
Premier Liga · 2020
29€4.0M€3.0Mfell
Clinton Mata
Jupiler Pro League · 2020
28€6.5M€8.0Mrose
Domagoj Vida
Premier Liga · 2015
26€7.0M€9.0Mrose
Ezequiel Schelotto
Liga Portugal · 2017
28€4.5M€3.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023Hellas VeronaOlympiacosFree / loan€2.0M
30 Jun 2023OlympiacosHellas VeronaFree / loan€2.0M
31 Aug 2022Hellas VeronaOlympiacosFree / loan€2.8M
25 Jan 2022LeverkusenHellas VeronaFree / loan€3.5M
30 Jun 2021Saint-ÉtienneLeverkusenFree / loan€4.5M
5 Oct 2020LeverkusenSaint-ÉtienneFree / loan€8.0M
30 Jun 2020Sheff UtdLeverkusenFree / loan€8.0M
31 Jan 2020LeverkusenSheff UtdFree / loan€9.0M
31 Aug 2017OlympiacosLeverkusen€17.5M€5.0M
9 Sept 2015Olympiacos U20OlympiacosUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.