Dujon Sterling

The model rates Dujon Sterling's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.2M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

676 (23% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.27

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.19

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

42 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.31 (rank 26)

Team strength (Elo)

1427

Opponent strength

1304

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€873k – €3.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 15 pts; relative output up 385% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -9% (IQR -50% to +18%).

• ▲Small sample: 676 league minutes last season.
• ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

16 (DEF)

Relative output kept

90%–275%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

75%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.