
Lefteris Lyratzis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lefteris Lyratzis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 94
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 13.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €261k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1848 (79% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 14 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1104
- Opponent strength
- 1230
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €503k – €1.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 57 pts; changed club; team strength down (-216 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -20% to +11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panserraikos Serres | Super League 1 | RB | 22 | 1848 | 79% | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 1230 | 1104 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | RB | 15 | 683 | 22% | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 1280 | 1320 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | RB | 5 | 410 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1194 | 1212 | 0.42 |
| 2023/24 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 3 | 34 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1145 | 1535 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 10 | 748 | 32% | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.13 | 1211 | 1452 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 9 | 631 | 27% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 1265 | 1453 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 3 | 124 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1085 | 1428 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | RB | 18 | 808 | 35% | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 1371 | 1186 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 1 | 12 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1282 | 1552 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panserraikos Serres | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 150 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 99 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1316 |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 7 | 607 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 199 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1543 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergiy Chobotenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €600k | €1.0M | rose |
| Marios Tsaousis Super League 1 · 2024 | 24 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Josh Flint Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €450k | €450k | flat |
| Igor Tyshchenko Premier Liga · 2015 | 26 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Dino Arslanagic Super Lig · 2022 | 29 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Wajdi Kechrida Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Pavlo Polegenko Premier Liga · 2022 | 27 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Arthur Zagré Eredivisie · 2024 | 23 | €1.3M | €2.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Panserraikos | PAOK | Free / loan | €800k |
| 17 Jul 2025 | PAOK | Panserraikos | Free / loan | €850k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | NEC Nijmegen | PAOK | Free / loan | €850k |
| 2 Sept 2024 | PAOK | NEC Nijmegen | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Asteras Tripoli | PAOK | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 18 Jan 2024 | PAOK | Asteras Tripoli | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 31 Jul 2020 | Volos NFC | PAOK | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PAOK | Volos NFC | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | PAOK U19 | PAOK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | PAOK U17 | PAOK U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.