Lefteris Lyratzis

26 yrs · Right-back · Greece
Panserraikos Serres · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€800k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€196k – €760k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€305k – €721k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€503k – €1.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€455k – €525k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€196k – €760k
Model value (performance-implied)€305k – €721k
Projected value (24 months)€503k – €1.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Lefteris Lyratzis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 94

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average13.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €261k vs market €800k
Expected appreciationLow-12% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1848 (79% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.15
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.19
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
14 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1104
Opponent strength
1230
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€503k – €1.1M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 57 pts; changed club; team strength down (-216 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -20% to +11%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
55%–230%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Panserraikos SerresSuper League 1RB22184879%120.150.19123011040.43
2024/25NEC NijmegenEredivisieRB1568322%020.260.19128013200.50
2023/24A.G.S Asteras TripolisSuper League 1RB541018%000.000.12119412120.42
2023/24Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1RB3341%000.000.08114515350.42
2022/23Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1RB1074832%020.240.13121114520.37
2021/22Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1RB963127%100.140.11126514530.39
2020/21Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1RB31245%000.000.06108514280.39
2019/20Volou Neos Podosferikos SyllogosSuper League 1RB1880835%100.110.20137111860.46
2018/19Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1RB1120%000.000.10128215520.43

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasPanserraikos Serres112000—
2024/25Knvb BekerNEC Nijmegen215000—
2022/23Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton29900—
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton166001316
2021/22Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton760700—
2020/21Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton419900—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton282001543
2019/20Kypello ElladasVolou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos330000—
2018/19Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton313500—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Sergiy Chobotenko
Premier Liga · 2023
26€600k€1.0Mrose
Marios Tsaousis
Super League 1 · 2024
24€500k€500kflat
Josh Flint
Eredivisie · 2024
24€450k€450kflat
Igor Tyshchenko
Premier Liga · 2015
26€600k€300kfell
Dino Arslanagic
Super Lig · 2022
29€1.0M€600kfell
Wajdi Kechrida
Super League 1 · 2023
28€800k€700kflat
Pavlo Polegenko
Premier Liga · 2022
27€400k€400kflat
Arthur Zagré
Eredivisie · 2024
23€1.3M€2.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026PanserraikosPAOKFree / loan€800k
17 Jul 2025PAOKPanserraikosFree / loan€850k
30 Jun 2025NEC NijmegenPAOKFree / loan€850k
2 Sept 2024PAOKNEC NijmegenFree / loan€1.2M
30 Jun 2024Asteras TripoliPAOKFree / loan€1.2M
18 Jan 2024PAOKAsteras TripoliFree / loan€1.5M
31 Jul 2020Volos NFCPAOKFree / loan€350k
1 Jul 2019PAOKVolos NFCFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2018PAOK U19PAOKUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016PAOK U17PAOK U20UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.