Alexander Isak

The model rates Alexander Isak's performance-implied value at EUR 35.6M-56.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 60.1M-117.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 43.5M-84.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.72x the positional average in the league (702 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

702 (21% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.51

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.36

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

96 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1682

Opponent strength

1574

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€43.5M – €84.7M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 61 pts; changed club; relative output down 43% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -75% to -23%).

• ▲Small sample: 702 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.