Rodrigo Bentancur

29 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM) · Uruguay
Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€20.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€11.6M – €22.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€17.5M – €26.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€5.7M – €12.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€5.0M – €14.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€11.6M – €22.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€17.5M – €26.4M
Projected value (24 months)€5.7M – €12.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Rodrigo Bentancur's performance-implied value at EUR 17.5M-26.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.6M-22.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.7M-12.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.68x the positional average in the league (1892 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 1

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite90.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €16.2M vs market €20.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-61% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €50.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1892 (55% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.08
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
90 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1564
Opponent strength
1597
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€5.7M – €12.3M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -20% (IQR -49% to -18%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueDM26189255%110.100.08159715641.30
2024/25Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueDM26165348%200.110.10153215641.23
2023/24Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueCM23100729%110.180.16158315881.14
2022/23Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueDM18150644%520.420.23157816061.23
2021/22Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueDM17136540%040.260.18158316591.17
2021/22Juventus FCSerie ACM19115634%020.160.10146416230.89
2020/21Juventus FCSerie ACM33232668%040.150.10144516980.90
2019/20Juventus FCSerie ACM30219964%080.330.15140516430.82
2018/19Juventus FCSerie ACM31199858%230.230.10141317010.78
2017/18Juventus FCSerie ACM2056517%000.000.07146018200.86

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueTottenham Hotspur5412001577
2025/26World CupUruguay327000—
2025/26Uefa Super CupTottenham Hotspur190001830
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueTottenham Hotspur13966001541
2024/25Fa CupTottenham Hotspur17200—
2023/24Fa CupTottenham Hotspur215600—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueTottenham Hotspur6506101623
2022/23Fa CupTottenham Hotspur17100—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC5384011639
2021/22Supercoppa ItalianaJuventus FC130001771
2021/22Italy CupJuventus FC11600—
2021/22Fa CupTottenham Hotspur11300—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC7475001579
2020/21Italy CupJuventus FC430200—
2020/21Supercoppa ItalianaJuventus FC183001608
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC7419001593
2019/20Italy CupJuventus FC538710—
2019/20Supercoppa ItalianaJuventus FC190001539
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC7550001659
2018/19Italy CupJuventus FC19000—
2018/19Supercoppa ItalianaJuventus FC186001542
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC5291001758
2017/18Italy CupJuventus FC29100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Francis Coquelin
Laliga · 2020
29€19.0M€5.0Mfell
Mateo Kovacic
Premier League · 2023
29€38.0M€20.0Mfell
André Gomes
Premier League · 2021
28€20.0M€16.0Mfell
Solly March
Premier League · 2022
28€9.0M€18.0Mrose
Geoffrey Kondogbia
Laliga · 2020
27€22.5M€20.0Mflat
Éver Banega
Laliga · 2016
28€15.0M€12.0Mfell
Thomas Partey
Premier League · 2022
29€38.0M€18.0Mfell
Guido Pizarro
Laliga · 2018
28€7.5M€6.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
31 Jan 2022JuventusTottenham€19.0M€25.0M
1 Jul 2017Boca JuniorsJuventus€23.5M€6.0M
3 Jan 2015CABJ U20Boca JuniorsUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.