Godfried Frimpong
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Godfried Frimpong's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 78
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 29.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €675k vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2197 (72% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 30 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1203
- Opponent strength
- 1264
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €827k – €2.3M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-68 Elo); league level down (-54 Elo); relative output down 49% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -34% (IQR -48% to +32%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | LB | 27 | 2197 | 72% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 1264 | 1203 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Moreirense FC | Liga Portugal | LB | 30 | 2541 | 83% | 1 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 1362 | 1271 | 0.51 |
| 2023/24 | Moreirense FC | Liga Portugal | LB | 31 | 2007 | 66% | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 1405 | 1329 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Moreirense FC | Liga Portugal | LB | 12 | 581 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1331 | 1279 | 0.67 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Adekugbe Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Burak Öksüz Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €1.1M | €800k | fell |
| Miroslav Bogosavac Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €2.3M | €1.2M | fell |
| Maxime Biset Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 28 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Brian Lluy Super League 1 · 2016 | 27 | €1.0M | €200k | fell |
| Samet Akaydin Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Dino Mikanovic Superliga · 2019 | 25 | €1.0M | €2.0M | rose |
| Leeroy Owusu Superliga · 2024 | 28 | €650k | €1.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2025 | Moreirense | Kasimpasa | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 13 Jul 2021 | Benfica B | Moreirense | Unknown | €350k |
| 15 Feb 2019 | Benfica U23 | Benfica B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Benfica U19 | Benfica U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Benfica U17 | Benfica U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 25 Jul 2015 | Sparta R. U17 | Benfica U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Sparta Youth | Sparta R. U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Laakkwartier Y. | Sparta Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.