Luuk Brouwers
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Luuk Brouwers's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.20x the positional average in the league (1939 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 79
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 34th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €484k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1939 (63% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.51
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1284
- Opponent strength
- 1306
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €641k – €1.5M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 29% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -60% to -36%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | AM | 30 | 1939 | 63% | 5 | 6 | 0.51 | 0.48 | 1306 | 1284 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | AM | 24 | 1911 | 62% | 3 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.37 | 1305 | 1252 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | AM | 26 | 2042 | 67% | 6 | 2 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 1350 | 1222 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | DM | 24 | 1622 | 53% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1351 | 1392 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | DM | 33 | 2878 | 94% | 7 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 1362 | 1188 | 0.60 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 4 | 258 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 4 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | 353 | 2 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andriy Totovytskyi Premier Liga · 2022 | 29 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Joseph Attamah Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Mattias Johansson Super League 1 · 2019 | 27 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Kyrylo Kovalets Premier Liga · 2022 | 29 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Kristiyan Malinov Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Ramzi Safuri Super Lig · 2024 | 29 | €1.6M | €900k | fell |
| Danijel Milicevic Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 28 | €1.0M | €4.5M | rose |
| Taylan Antalyalı Super Lig · 2023 | 28 | €2.3M | €900k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Utrecht | Heerenveen | €875k | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Heerenveen | Utrecht | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 21 Aug 2023 | Utrecht | Heerenveen | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Go Ahead Eagles | Utrecht | €1.3M | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | FC Den Bosch | Go Ahead Eagles | Free / loan | €275k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Brabant U21 | FC Den Bosch | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Brabant Utd U17 | Brabant U21 | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Den Bosch Yth. | Brabant Utd U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.