Rasmus Nissen Kristensen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Rasmus Nissen Kristensen's performance-implied value at EUR 5.5M-17.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.8M-9.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.7M-7.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 18
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 84.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €6.3M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -53% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1542 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 84 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1445
- Opponent strength
- 1478
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.7M – €7.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; team strength down (-128 Elo); relative output down 62% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -44% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1542 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | RB | 22 | 1542 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 1478 | 1445 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | RB | 30 | 2516 | 82% | 5 | 3 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 1501 | 1574 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | RM | 29 | 1743 | 51% | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1505 | 1618 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Leeds United | Premier League | RB | 26 | 1961 | 57% | 3 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 1604 | 1418 | 1.23 |
| 2018/19 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | RB | 12 | 618 | 20% | 0 | 3 | 0.44 | 0.10 | 1271 | 1746 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | RM | 17 | 1513 | 65% | 3 | 2 | 0.30 | 0.21 | 1282 | 1492 | 0.47 |
| 2017/18 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | RB | 8 | 483 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1237 | 1627 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | RB | 25 | 2187 | 93% | 1 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 1303 | 1377 | 0.48 |
| 2015/16 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | RB | 12 | 908 | 31% | 1 | 2 | 0.30 | 0.14 | 1276 | 1447 | 0.53 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 329 | 1 | 0 | 1665 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 11 | 851 | 1 | 1 | 1524 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 4 | 329 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 5 | 480 | 1 | 3 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1408 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1464 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 7 | 560 | 1 | 1 | 1338 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 750 | 0 | 3 | 1402 |
| 2016/17 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 4 | 390 | 0 | 3 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Ranocchia Serie A · 2016 | 28 | €7.5M | €5.0M | fell |
| Philipp Lienhart Bundesliga · 2024 | 28 | €15.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Andreas Granqvist Premier Liga · 2014 | 29 | €6.5M | €7.0M | flat |
| Falaye Sacko Ligue 1 · 2024 | 29 | €4.0M | €4.0M | flat |
| Joseph Okumu Ligue 1 · 2024 | 27 | €9.0M | €9.0M | flat |
| Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Bundesliga · 2020 | 29 | €9.5M | €3.5M | fell |
| Nacho Vidal Laliga · 2023 | 28 | €5.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Youssouf Sabaly Ligue 1 · 2019 | 26 | €10.0M | €6.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Leeds | Frankfurt | €6.0M | €14.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Frankfurt | Leeds | Free / loan | €14.0M |
| 19 Jul 2024 | Leeds | Frankfurt | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Roma | Leeds | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 14 Jul 2023 | Leeds | Roma | Free / loan | €13.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Salzburg | Leeds | €13.0M | €15.0M |
| 19 Jul 2019 | Ajax | Salzburg | €5.0M | €2.5M |
| 23 Jan 2018 | Midtjylland | Ajax | €5.5M | €1.8M |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Midtjylland U19 | Midtjylland | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | FCM Youth | Midtjylland U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.