Denys Antyukh
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Denys Antyukh's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.26x the positional average in the league (1897 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 80
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 13.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €367k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1897 (70% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.43
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.50
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 13 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1186
- Opponent strength
- 1188
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €363k – €1.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 27 pts; changed club; role change LW -> RW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -44% (IQR -57% to -31%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier Liga | RW | 26 | 1897 | 70% | 4 | 5 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 1188 | 1186 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | LW | 16 | 1155 | 43% | 1 | 5 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 1180 | 1182 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | RW | 28 | 2121 | 79% | 4 | 3 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1253 | 1235 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | RW | 25 | 1353 | 50% | 3 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 1282 | 1406 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | RW | 3 | 97 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1324 | 1532 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | LW | 22 | 1366 | 58% | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.37 | 1334 | 1336 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | RM | 1 | 30 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 1453 | 1229 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 5 | 269 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 162 | 1 | 1 | 1548 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 68 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 3 | 239 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | 1396 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Balkany Zorya | 2 | 196 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Boychuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Nikolaos Karelis Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €800k | €450k | fell |
| Yusuf Erdoğan Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €1.8M | €475k | fell |
| Nikolaos Vergos Super League 1 · 2022 | 26 | €600k | €450k | fell |
| Oleg Kozhushko Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €1.2M | €600k | fell |
| Martin Boyle Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 31 | €1.3M | €300k | fell |
| Muhammet Demir Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €1.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Maksym Zaderaka Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €900k | €600k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Zorya Lugansk | Metalist 1925 | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Sept 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Lugansk | €200k | €500k |
| 9 Jul 2021 | Kolos Kovalivka | Dynamo Kyiv | €126k | €600k |
| 31 Dec 2019 | Balkany Zorya | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €75k |
| 26 Aug 2019 | Kolos Kovalivka | Balkany Zorya | Free / loan | €50k |
| 25 Jul 2018 | Naftovyk | Kolos Kovalivka | Unknown | €50k |
| 21 Jul 2015 | Naftovyk II | Naftovyk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2014 | UFK Kharkiv | Naftovyk II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Apr 2013 | Naftovyk U17 | UFK Kharkiv | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.