Luka Ivanušec
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Luka Ivanušec's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-3.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-3.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.75x the positional average in the league (499 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 44th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.9M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 499 (21% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.36
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.30
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 44 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1236
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €963k – €3.5M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-104 Elo); role change LW -> AM; relative output up 90% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -43% to +30%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 499 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | AM | 17 | 499 | 21% | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 1236 | 1461 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LW | 13 | 479 | 16% | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 1222 | 1565 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LW | 24 | 1162 | 38% | 3 | 5 | 0.62 | 0.29 | 1321 | 1593 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 227 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 166 | 1 | 1 | 1399 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 155 | 0 | 0 | 1363 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 4 | 178 | 0 | 0 | 1667 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 3 | 91 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1659 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 251 | 3 | 0 | 1424 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 5 | 204 | 0 | 1 | 1585 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 86 | 1 | 1 | 1461 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1585 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 3 | 70 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oğuzhan Özyakup Super Lig · 2020 | 28 | €1.7M | €1.0M | fell |
| Emre Akbaba Super Lig · 2020 | 28 | €2.4M | €4.0M | rose |
| Mijat Gacinovic Super League 1 · 2022 | 27 | €2.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Konstantinos Galanopoulos Super League 1 · 2024 | 27 | €1.2M | €900k | fell |
| Sotiris Ninis Super League 1 · 2016 | 26 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Jorrit Hendrix Eredivisie · 2022 | 27 | €1.8M | €1.2M | fell |
| Danil Krugovoy Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €1.8M | €5.0M | rose |
| Yunus Mallı Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €1.9M | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | PAOK | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 13 Jul 2025 | Feyenoord | PAOK | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 25 Aug 2023 | Dinamo Zagreb | Feyenoord | €7.8M | €12.0M |
| 19 Aug 2019 | NK Lokomotiva | Dinamo Zagreb | €3.0M | €1.4M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Lokomotiva U19 | NK Lokomotiva | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | NK Varazdin U17 | Lokomotiva U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | NK Varazdin Jgd | NK Varazdin U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.