Hamed Traoré

26 yrs · Left winger (also AM, CM, LM, SS) · Cote d'Ivoire
Olympique Marseille · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 177 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€15.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€7.8M – €16.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.6M – €11.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€4.6M – €13.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€11.8M – €3.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€7.8M – €16.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.6M – €11.2M
Projected value (24 months)€4.6M – €13.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Hamed Traoré's performance-implied value at EUR 4.6M-11.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.8M-16.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.6M-13.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (636 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAbove average67th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €12.8M vs market €15.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-48% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €22.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
636 (19% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.57
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.37
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
67 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1507
Opponent strength
1474
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€4.6M – €13.3M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 50 pts; changed club; team strength up (+114 Elo); relative output down 29% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -54% to -15%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 636 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Olympique MarseilleLigue 1LW1362020%210.440.37147415040.88
2025/26AFC BournemouthPremier LeagueLW1160%015.630.78178316431.30
2024/25AJ AuxerreLigue 1LW26210869%1020.510.56146013930.88
2023/24SSC NapoliSerie AAM938311%000.000.25156015690.98
2023/24AFC BournemouthPremier LeagueAM3441%000.000.54164514961.14
2022/23US SassuoloSerie AAM1159317%030.460.50149514200.94
2022/23AFC BournemouthPremier LeagueSS742913%000.000.79162314251.23
2021/22US SassuoloSerie ALM31178152%740.560.49148014640.89
2020/21US SassuoloSerie AAM35179052%530.400.43149415020.90
2019/20US SassuoloSerie AAM31157146%410.290.32142514280.82
2018/19FC EmpoliSerie ACM32226866%220.160.27148913040.78

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueOlympique Marseille2113001657
2025/26Trophee Des ChampionsOlympique Marseille123001832
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueSSC Napoli2100001685
2021/22Italy CupUS Sassuolo15910—
2019/20Italy CupUS Sassuolo218010—
2018/19Italy CupFC Empoli13100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Eldor Shomurodov
Serie A · 2022
27€8.0M€5.0Mfell
Samu Castillejo
Serie A · 2019
24€18.0M€8.0Mfell
Daniel Sturridge
Premier League · 2015
26€25.0M€20.0Mfell
Gerard Deulofeu
Serie A · 2021
27€10.0M€10.0Mflat
Borja Bastón
Premier League · 2017
25€10.0M€2.0Mfell
Mohamed Bayo
Ligue 1 · 2023
25€6.0M€2.8Mfell
Jordan Ayew
Premier League · 2017
26€7.5M€8.0Mflat
Enner Valencia
Premier League · 2016
27€11.0M€6.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026BournemouthMarseille€7.5M€15.0M
30 Jun 2026MarseilleBournemouthFree / loan€15.0M
29 Aug 2025BournemouthMarseilleFree / loan€20.0M
30 Jun 2025AJ AuxerreBournemouthFree / loan€20.0M
27 Aug 2024BournemouthAJ AuxerreFree / loan€17.0M
30 Jun 2024NapoliBournemouthFree / loan€17.0M
17 Jan 2024BournemouthNapoliFree / loan€18.0M
1 Jul 2023SassuoloBournemouth€25.6M€22.0M
30 Jun 2023BournemouthSassuoloFree / loan€22.0M
31 Jan 2023SassuoloBournemouthFree / loan€22.0M
1 Jul 2021FC EmpoliSassuolo€16.0M€20.0M
30 Jun 2021SassuoloEmpoliFree / loan€20.0M
12 Jul 2019FC EmpoliSassuoloFree / loan€14.0M
1 Jul 2017Empoli U19FC EmpoliUnknown€250k
1 Jul 2016Empoli U17Empoli U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Boca BarcoEmpoli U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Hamed Traoré · MoneyballAI