
Hamed Traoré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Hamed Traoré's performance-implied value at EUR 4.6M-11.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.8M-16.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.6M-13.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (636 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 67th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €12.8M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -48% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 636 (19% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.57
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 67 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1507
- Opponent strength
- 1474
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.6M – €13.3M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 50 pts; changed club; team strength up (+114 Elo); relative output down 29% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -54% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 636 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | LW | 13 | 620 | 20% | 2 | 1 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 1474 | 1504 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | LW | 1 | 16 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 5.63 | 0.78 | 1783 | 1643 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | LW | 26 | 2108 | 69% | 10 | 2 | 0.51 | 0.56 | 1460 | 1393 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | AM | 9 | 383 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1560 | 1569 | 0.98 |
| 2023/24 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | AM | 3 | 44 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.54 | 1645 | 1496 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | AM | 11 | 593 | 17% | 0 | 3 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 1495 | 1420 | 0.94 |
| 2022/23 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | SS | 7 | 429 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.79 | 1623 | 1425 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | LM | 31 | 1781 | 52% | 7 | 4 | 0.56 | 0.49 | 1480 | 1464 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | AM | 35 | 1790 | 52% | 5 | 3 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 1494 | 1502 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | AM | 31 | 1571 | 46% | 4 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 1425 | 1428 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | FC Empoli | Serie A | CM | 32 | 2268 | 66% | 2 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 1489 | 1304 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Olympique Marseille | 2 | 113 | 0 | 0 | 1657 |
| 2025/26 | Trophee Des Champions | Olympique Marseille | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1832 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 2 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 1685 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 59 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | FC Empoli | 1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldor Shomurodov Serie A · 2022 | 27 | €8.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Samu Castillejo Serie A · 2019 | 24 | €18.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Daniel Sturridge Premier League · 2015 | 26 | €25.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Gerard Deulofeu Serie A · 2021 | 27 | €10.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Borja Bastón Premier League · 2017 | 25 | €10.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Mohamed Bayo Ligue 1 · 2023 | 25 | €6.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Jordan Ayew Premier League · 2017 | 26 | €7.5M | €8.0M | flat |
| Enner Valencia Premier League · 2016 | 27 | €11.0M | €6.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Bournemouth | Marseille | €7.5M | €15.0M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Marseille | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 29 Aug 2025 | Bournemouth | Marseille | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | AJ Auxerre | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 27 Aug 2024 | Bournemouth | AJ Auxerre | Free / loan | €17.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Napoli | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €17.0M |
| 17 Jan 2024 | Bournemouth | Napoli | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Sassuolo | Bournemouth | €25.6M | €22.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Bournemouth | Sassuolo | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Sassuolo | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | FC Empoli | Sassuolo | €16.0M | €20.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Sassuolo | Empoli | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 12 Jul 2019 | FC Empoli | Sassuolo | Free / loan | €14.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Empoli U19 | FC Empoli | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Empoli U17 | Empoli U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Boca Barco | Empoli U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.