Gideon Mensah
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Gideon Mensah's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-6.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-4.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-3.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 60
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 60.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 28 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.5M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -30% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2334 (76% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1402
- Opponent strength
- 1482
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €3.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -22% (IQR -53% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | LB | 30 | 2334 | 76% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 1482 | 1402 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | LB | 29 | 2284 | 75% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 1477 | 1393 | 0.88 |
| 2022/23 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | LB | 26 | 2264 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1473 | 1314 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | LB | 23 | 1204 | 35% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 1435 | 1312 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Vitória Guimarães SC | Liga Portugal | LB | 22 | 1831 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1354 | 1329 | 0.61 |
| 2019/20 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 19 | 1676 | 64% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1367 | 1306 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ghana | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo González Serie A · 2015 | 27 | €5.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Henri Bedimo Ligue 1 · 2013 | 29 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
| Alexandru Epureanu Premier Liga · 2013 | 27 | €3.0M | €4.5M | rose |
| Toni Sunjic Premier Liga · 2015 | 27 | €2.8M | €700k | fell |
| Bakaye Dibassy Ligue 1 · 2018 | 29 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Romain Danzé Ligue 1 · 2013 | 27 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Stefano Denswil Serie A · 2020 | 27 | €4.8M | €4.2M | flat |
| Jonathan Gradit Ligue 1 · 2021 | 29 | €3.0M | €5.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2022 | Salzburg | AJ Auxerre | Unknown | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | G. Bordeaux | Salzburg | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 3 Aug 2021 | Salzburg | G. Bordeaux | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Vit. Guimarães | Salzburg | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Salzburg | Vit. Guimarães | Free / loan | €2.7M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Zulte Waregem | Salzburg | Free / loan | €2.7M |
| 29 Aug 2019 | Salzburg | Zulte Waregem | Free / loan | €900k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FC Liefering | Salzburg | Unknown | €900k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Sturm Graz | FC Liefering | Free / loan | €900k |
| 21 Jan 2019 | FC Liefering | Sturm Graz | Free / loan | €400k |
| 21 Jul 2016 | WAFA SC | FC Liefering | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.