Pau Torres
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Pau Torres's performance-implied value at EUR 21.1M-48.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.0M-23.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.7M-13.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 1
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 98.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €17.1M vs market €20.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -59% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1676 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 99 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1721
- Opponent strength
- 1588
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.7M – €13.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -54% to -35%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1676 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Aston Villa | Premier League | CB | 21 | 1676 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1588 | 1721 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Aston Villa | Premier League | CB | 24 | 2020 | 59% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1572 | 1695 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Aston Villa | Premier League | CB | 29 | 2463 | 72% | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 1586 | 1586 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | CB | 34 | 3055 | 89% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1517 | 1581 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | CB | 33 | 2856 | 84% | 5 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 1524 | 1661 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | CB | 33 | 2970 | 87% | 2 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 1565 | 1676 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | CB | 34 | 2971 | 87% | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1546 | 1610 | 1.16 |
| 2017/18 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | CB | 2 | 51 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1547 | 1569 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Aston Villa | 11 | 934 | 0 | 1 | 1532 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Aston Villa | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Aston Villa | 9 | 678 | 0 | 2 | 1676 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Aston Villa | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Aston Villa | 2 | 153 | 0 | 1 | 1229 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Villarreal CF | 2 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1418 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Villarreal CF | 12 | 1080 | 1 | 0 | 1742 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Super Cup | Villarreal CF | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1754 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Villarreal CF | 9 | 795 | 1 | 0 | 1630 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 2 | 121 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Villarreal CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1443 |
| 2016/17 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphaël Varane Premier League · 2023 | 30 | €35.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Victor Lindelöf Premier League · 2023 | 29 | €18.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Gaël Clichy Premier League · 2014 | 29 | €13.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Ben Davies Premier League · 2019 | 26 | €25.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Stefan Savic Laliga · 2020 | 29 | €25.5M | €16.0M | fell |
| Vincent Kompany Premier League · 2015 | 29 | €30.0M | €22.0M | fell |
| Jonny Evans Premier League · 2014 | 26 | €13.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Felipe Laliga · 2021 | 32 | €12.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2023 | Villarreal | Aston Villa | €33.0M | €45.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Málaga CF | Villarreal | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 6 Aug 2018 | Villarreal | Málaga CF | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Villarreal CF B | Villarreal | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Villarreal U19 | Villarreal CF B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Roda U19 | Villarreal U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Villarreal Yth. | Roda U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.