Samuel Chukwueze

The model rates Samuel Chukwueze's performance-implied value at EUR 14.6M-30.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.2M-23.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.3M-17.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.40x the positional average in the league (1099 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1099 (32% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.57

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.56

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

89 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 4)

Team strength (Elo)

1576

Opponent strength

1603

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€7.3M – €17.5M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+108 Elo); relative output up 61% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -69% to -25%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1099 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.