
Yoane Wissa
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yoane Wissa's performance-implied value at EUR 11.4M-25.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 14.4M-33.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.3M-13.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.74x the positional average in the league (521 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Elite | 92.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €22.1M vs market €25.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -64% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 521 (15% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.34
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.38
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 92 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1631
- Opponent strength
- 1578
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.3M – €13.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 70 pts; changed club; relative output down 43% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -67% (IQR -79% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 521 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Newcastle United | Premier League | ST | 19 | 521 | 15% | 1 | 1 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 1578 | 1631 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Brentford FC | Premier League | ST | 35 | 2929 | 86% | 19 | 5 | 0.74 | 0.69 | 1572 | 1583 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Brentford FC | Premier League | ST | 34 | 2508 | 73% | 12 | 3 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 1555 | 1500 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Brentford FC | Premier League | LW | 38 | 1600 | 47% | 7 | 3 | 0.56 | 0.52 | 1544 | 1623 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Brentford FC | Premier League | ST | 30 | 1273 | 37% | 7 | 1 | 0.57 | 0.73 | 1562 | 1483 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | LW | 38 | 2685 | 79% | 10 | 5 | 0.50 | 0.58 | 1435 | 1344 | 0.75 |
| 2016/17 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | LW | 2 | 25 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1413 | 1417 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 3 | 270 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Newcastle United | 4 | 101 | 1 | 1 | 1677 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Newcastle United | 2 | 96 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Brentford FC | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Brentford FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Brentford FC | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Sánchez Premier League · 2019 | 31 | €35.0M | €7.5M | fell |
| Raúl Jiménez Premier League · 2021 | 30 | €28.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Christian Benteke Premier League · 2019 | 29 | €15.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Thorgan Hazard Bundesliga · 2021 | 28 | €27.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Richarlison Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €48.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Nolito Premier League · 2017 | 31 | €12.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Chris Wood Premier League · 2023 | 32 | €8.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Jordan Ayew Premier League · 2019 | 28 | €8.0M | €8.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Brentford | Newcastle | €57.7M | €32.0M |
| 10 Aug 2021 | FC Lorient | Brentford | €10.0M | €10.0M |
| 22 Jan 2018 | Angers SCO | FC Lorient | €2.0M | €300k |
| 21 Jan 2018 | AC Ajaccio | Angers SCO | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Angers SCO | AC Ajaccio | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Stade Lavallois | Angers SCO | Free / loan | €300k |
| 23 Jan 2017 | Angers SCO | Stade Lavallois | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | LB Châteauroux | Angers SCO | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Châteauroux B | LB Châteauroux | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.