Stephen Welsh

The model rates Stephen Welsh's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1964 (66% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.09

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.09

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

33 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.31 (rank 26)

Team strength (Elo)

1246

Opponent strength

1199

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€908k – €3.1M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 49 pts; changed club; team strength down (-133 Elo); league level down (-134 Elo); relative output up 69% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +73% (IQR -25% to +104%).

• ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

16 (DEF)

Relative output kept

90%–275%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

75%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.