Yannik Engelhardt
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yannik Engelhardt's performance-implied value at EUR 2.3M-6.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.1M-7.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.9M-11.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.19x the positional average in the league (2491 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 90
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 59.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €4.2M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2491 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1423
- Opponent strength
- 1485
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.9M – €11.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 48 pts; changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -60% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | DM | 31 | 2491 | 81% | 2 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 1485 | 1422 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Como 1907 | Serie A | DM | 26 | 1153 | 34% | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 1525 | 1461 | 0.99 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Serie A · 2016 | 24 | €10.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Riccardo Saponara Serie A · 2016 | 25 | €15.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Ondrej Duda Bundesliga · 2021 | 27 | €8.0M | €3.4M | fell |
| Masaya Okugawa Bundesliga · 2022 | 26 | €5.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Luis Milla Laliga · 2022 | 28 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Nikola Vlašić Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €17.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Andrea Colpani Serie A · 2024 | 25 | €18.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Óscar Mingueza Laliga · 2024 | 25 | €8.0M | €18.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Mönchengladbach | Como | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Sept 2025 | Como | Mönchengladbach | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Aug 2024 | F. Düsseldorf | Como | €8.0M | €4.0M |
| 2 Jul 2023 | SC Freiburg II | F. Düsseldorf | €3.8M | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Werder Bremen | SC Freiburg II | €900k | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | SC Freiburg II | Werder Bremen | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 2 Jul 2021 | Werder Bremen | SC Freiburg II | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | W. Bremen II | Werder Bremen | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | W. Bremen U19 | W. Bremen II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | W. Bremen U17 | W. Bremen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | W. Bremen Yth. | W. Bremen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Eichsfeld Yth. | W. Bremen Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | HöhBernSee Jgd. | Eichsfeld Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.