
Joey Veerman
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Joey Veerman's performance-implied value at EUR 7.7M-18.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 14.9M-27.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.5M-24.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.32x the positional average in the league (2370 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 10
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 84.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €22.3M vs market €25.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -41% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2370 (78% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.83
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.29
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 85 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1606
- Opponent strength
- 1288
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €10.5M – €24.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 18 pts; relative output up 75% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -23% (IQR -50% to -14%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CM | 30 | 2370 | 77% | 8 | 14 | 0.84 | 0.29 | 1288 | 1606 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CM | 27 | 1833 | 60% | 1 | 8 | 0.44 | 0.16 | 1267 | 1632 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CM | 29 | 2391 | 78% | 5 | 16 | 0.79 | 0.27 | 1317 | 1659 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CM | 33 | 2491 | 81% | 4 | 10 | 0.51 | 0.22 | 1344 | 1649 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | CM | 18 | 1519 | 50% | 3 | 6 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 1356 | 1287 | 0.60 |
| 2021/22 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CM | 15 | 1037 | 34% | 4 | 5 | 0.78 | 0.32 | 1355 | 1641 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | DM | 31 | 2705 | 88% | 7 | 10 | 0.57 | 0.36 | 1353 | 1271 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | CM | 22 | 1767 | 76% | 4 | 5 | 0.46 | 0.36 | 1379 | 1317 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 720 | 0 | 1 | 1664 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1297 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 545 | 0 | 3 | 1684 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 376 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1593 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 579 | 0 | 0 | 1637 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 360 | 2 | 3 | 1443 |
| 2023/24 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1639 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 618 | 3 | 1 | 1567 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 377 | 2 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 367 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2022/23 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1749 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 276 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 2 | 180 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 4 | 345 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 4 | 264 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantinos Fortounis Super League 1 · 2019 | 27 | €10.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Joe Aribo Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 26 | €10.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Rafa Silva Liga Portugal · 2021 | 28 | €23.0M | €22.0M | flat |
| Taras Stepanenko Premier Liga · 2015 | 26 | €8.0M | €8.5M | flat |
| Calvin Stengs Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €15.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Wendel Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €20.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Adem Ljajic Super Lig · 2019 | 28 | €12.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Mats Wieffer Eredivisie · 2024 | 25 | €30.0M | €25.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2022 | Heerenveen | PSV | €6.0M | €7.0M |
| 30 Aug 2019 | FC Volendam | Heerenveen | €550k | €350k |
| 9 Sept 2016 | Volendam U21 | FC Volendam | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Volendam U19 | Volendam U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Volendam U17 | Volendam U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Volendam Youth | Volendam U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | RKAV Yth. | Volendam Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.