Pascal Struijk
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Pascal Struijk's performance-implied value at EUR 7.2M-19.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 15.3M-31.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 12.5M-28.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 42
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 86.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €22.8M vs market €22.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2937 (86% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 86 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1521
- Opponent strength
- 1612
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €12.5M – €28.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -5% (IQR -23% to +55%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Leeds United | Premier League | CB | 34 | 2937 | 86% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1612 | 1521 | 1.30 |
| 2022/23 | Leeds United | Premier League | LB | 29 | 2203 | 64% | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 1579 | 1418 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Leeds United | Premier League | CB | 29 | 2051 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1578 | 1477 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Leeds United | Premier League | CB | 27 | 2076 | 61% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1579 | 1573 | 1.19 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 3 | 230 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joachim Andersen Premier League · 2023 | 27 | €30.0M | €27.0M | flat |
| Antonee Robinson Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €15.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Jamaal Lascelles Premier League · 2019 | 26 | €15.0M | €13.0M | flat |
| Adam Webster Premier League · 2021 | 26 | €18.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Iñigo Martínez Laliga · 2016 | 25 | €15.0M | €32.0M | rose |
| Michael Keane Premier League · 2018 | 25 | €20.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Aïssa Mandi Laliga · 2019 | 28 | €16.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Rico Henry Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €28.0M | €15.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2020 | Leeds United U23 | Leeds | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 29 Jan 2018 | Ajax U19 | Leeds United U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | ADO U19 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | ADO U17 | ADO U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.