Antonee Robinson
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Antonee Robinson's performance-implied value at EUR 13.6M-27.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.8M-22.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.1M-13.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 4
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 93th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €15.1M vs market €22.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -62% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1492 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 93 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1576
- Opponent strength
- 1581
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.1M – €13.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 49 pts; relative output down 62% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -61% to -26%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1492 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fulham FC | Premier League | LB | 22 | 1492 | 44% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 1581 | 1576 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Fulham FC | Premier League | LB | 36 | 3167 | 93% | 0 | 10 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 1591 | 1555 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Fulham FC | Premier League | LB | 37 | 3270 | 96% | 0 | 6 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 1590 | 1524 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Fulham FC | Premier League | LB | 35 | 3089 | 90% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 1580 | 1495 | 1.23 |
| 2020/21 | Fulham FC | Premier League | LB | 28 | 2162 | 63% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1568 | 1352 | 1.19 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | United States | 2 | 170 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 2 | 114 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 2 | 191 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 2 | 98 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 3 | 194 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Cresswell Premier League · 2019 | 30 | €10.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Matt Doherty Premier League · 2021 | 29 | €16.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Matty Cash Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €25.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Willy Boly Premier League · 2020 | 29 | €14.5M | €6.0M | fell |
| David López Laliga · 2019 | 30 | €9.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Raphaël Varane Premier League · 2022 | 29 | €48.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Lucas Digne Premier League · 2023 | 30 | €15.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Marc Cucurella Premier League · 2023 | 25 | €35.0M | €35.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2020 | Wigan | Fulham | €2.1M | €3.5M |
| 15 Jul 2019 | Everton U23 | Wigan | €2.2M | €1.0M |
| 31 May 2019 | Wigan | Everton U23 | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 3 Aug 2018 | Everton U23 | Wigan | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 May 2018 | Bolton | Everton U23 | Free / loan | €500k |
| 4 Aug 2017 | Everton U23 | Bolton | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Everton U18 | Everton U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Everton Youth | Everton U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.