Jules Koundé
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jules Koundé's performance-implied value at EUR 26.6M-58.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 32.4M-69.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 26.5M-45.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 9
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 98.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €48.5M vs market €60.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -48% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2261 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 99 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1787
- Opponent strength
- 1473
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €26.5M – €45.4M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 24% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -51% to -7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | RB | 30 | 2261 | 66% | 1 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.09 | 1473 | 1787 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | RB | 32 | 2606 | 76% | 2 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 1499 | 1792 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | RB | 35 | 2899 | 85% | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 1484 | 1723 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | RB | 29 | 2428 | 71% | 1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 1520 | 1696 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 32 | 2737 | 80% | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 1527 | 1636 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 34 | 2975 | 87% | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 1565 | 1680 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 29 | 2307 | 67% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 1547 | 1674 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | CB | 37 | 3320 | 97% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 1452 | 1408 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | CB | 18 | 1588 | 46% | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1447 | 1499 | 0.85 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 10 | 868 | 2 | 1 | 1611 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | France | 3 | 260 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 5 | 220 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1632 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 13 | 1106 | 0 | 3 | 1633 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 6 | 531 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1748 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1655 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 3 | 300 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1625 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 4 | 390 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 3 | 248 | 0 | 1 | 1752 |
| 2022/23 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1706 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Barcelona | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1692 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1603 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Sevilla FC | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | 1626 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 3 | 169 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 7 | 514 | 1 | 0 | 1544 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 7 | 513 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Super Cup | Sevilla FC | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1945 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Sevilla FC | 9 | 810 | 0 | 0 | 1547 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 135 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | FC Girondins Bordeaux | 5 | 450 | 1 | 0 | 1476 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Girondins Bordeaux | 5 | 450 | 1 | 0 | 1343 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Piqué Laliga · 2013 | 26 | €36.0M | €40.0M | flat |
| Mats Hummels Bundesliga · 2017 | 29 | €40.0M | €35.0M | flat |
| Benjamin Pavard Serie A · 2024 | 28 | €50.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Min-jae Kim Bundesliga · 2024 | 28 | €45.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Milan Škriniar Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €60.0M | €50.0M | flat |
| Raphaël Varane Laliga · 2021 | 28 | €70.0M | €35.0M | fell |
| Konstantinos Manolas Serie A · 2018 | 27 | €40.0M | €32.0M | fell |
| Kalidou Koulibaly Serie A · 2017 | 26 | €30.0M | €75.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2022 | Sevilla FC | Barcelona | €50.0M | €60.0M |
| 3 Jul 2019 | G. Bordeaux | Sevilla FC | €35.0M | €15.0M |
| 10 Oct 2017 | G. Bordeaux B | G. Bordeaux | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Bordeaux U19 | G. Bordeaux B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Bordeaux U17 | Bordeaux U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.