Min-jae Kim
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Min-jae Kim's performance-implied value at EUR 14.6M-45.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.3M-21.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.2M-15.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 8
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 97.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €16.5M vs market €20.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -47% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1605 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 97 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1871
- Opponent strength
- 1437
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €7.2M – €15.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 22 pts; team strength up (+99 Elo); relative output down 29% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -71% to -38%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1605 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | CB | 25 | 1605 | 52% | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 1437 | 1871 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | CB | 27 | 2289 | 75% | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 1497 | 1772 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | CB | 25 | 1972 | 64% | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.06 | 1504 | 1715 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | CB | 35 | 3054 | 89% | 2 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 1462 | 1739 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | CB | 31 | 2674 | 78% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1237 | 1422 | 0.42 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 8 | 336 | 0 | 0 | 1633 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | South Korea | 3 | 246 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 3 | 100 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Bayern Munich | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1531 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 13 | 1072 | 1 | 0 | 1650 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 3 | 232 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 9 | 658 | 0 | 0 | 1637 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Bayern Munich | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1685 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 9 | 786 | 0 | 0 | 1684 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 1 | 38 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1517 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgio Chiellini Serie A · 2016 | 32 | €13.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Rafinha Bundesliga · 2016 | 31 | €8.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Medhi Benatia Bundesliga · 2015 | 28 | €26.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Gerard Piqué Laliga · 2017 | 30 | €40.0M | €35.0M | flat |
| Kyle Walker Premier League · 2021 | 31 | €28.0M | €13.0M | fell |
| Niklas Süle Bundesliga · 2024 | 29 | €15.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Benjamin Pavard Serie A · 2024 | 28 | €50.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Jérôme Boateng Bundesliga · 2020 | 32 | €12.0M | €3.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2023 | Napoli | Bayern Munich | €50.0M | €60.0M |
| 27 Jul 2022 | Fenerbahçe | Napoli | €19.0M | €14.0M |
| 16 Aug 2021 | BJ Guoan | Fenerbahçe | €3.0M | €2.0M |
| 29 Jan 2019 | Jeonbuk Hyundai | BJ Guoan | €5.3M | €1.2M |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Gyeongju KHNP | Jeonbuk Hyundai | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Yonsei Univ. | Gyeongju KHNP | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2015 | Suwon THS | Yonsei Univ. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2012 | Yeoncho MS | Suwon THS | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Nam. Haesung MS | Yeoncho MS | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2009 | Gimhae Gaya ES | Nam. Haesung MS | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2007 | Dooryong ES | Gimhae Gaya ES | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.