Thomas van den Belt
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Thomas van den Belt's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.3M-6.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.4M-7.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.05x the positional average in the league (2193 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 61
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 38.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €3.9M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2193 (72% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.25
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1403
- Opponent strength
- 1290
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.4M – €7.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -20% (IQR -62% to +24%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | DM | 32 | 2193 | 72% | 5 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.13 | 1290 | 1403 | 0.43 |
| 2023/24 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 9 | 271 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1336 | 1593 | 0.48 |
| 2021/22 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | DM | 30 | 2070 | 68% | 3 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 1369 | 1226 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | DM | 9 | 430 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1371 | 1271 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 4 | 299 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1535 |
| 2023/24 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 208 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 25 | €5.0M | €4.5M | flat |
| Petros Mantalos Super League 1 · 2017 | 26 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Alexandru Cicâldău Super Lig · 2022 | 25 | €7.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| İrfan Can Kahveci Super Lig · 2020 | 25 | €7.0M | €8.5M | rose |
| Kristoffer Olsson Premier Liga · 2021 | 26 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Alessio Castro-Montes Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 25 | €4.2M | €6.0M | rose |
| Daniil Utkin Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €6.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| William Balikwisha Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 24 | €4.0M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Feyenoord | FC Twente | €1.3M | €1.8M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Castellón | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 1 Aug 2024 | Feyenoord | Castellón | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | PEC Zwolle | Feyenoord | €850k | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | PEC Zwolle U21 | PEC Zwolle | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PEC Zwolle U19 | PEC Zwolle U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | PEC Zwolle U17 | PEC Zwolle U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | PEC Youth | PEC Zwolle U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | DOS Kampen Yth. | PEC Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.