Melle Meulensteen

27 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CB) · Netherlands
Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€919k – €2.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€813k – €1.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.4M – €3.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.0M – €511k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€919k – €2.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€813k – €1.4M
Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €3.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Melle Meulensteen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-3.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.28x the positional average in the league (2832 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 91

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage38.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.4M vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationNeutral-6% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2832 (93% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.22
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.16
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
38 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1245
Opponent strength
1307
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.4M – €3.6M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -43% to -5%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (MID)
Relative output kept
76%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieDM34283293%520.220.16130712450.43
2023/24Vitesse ArnhemEredivisieDM27204467%100.040.07136911580.48
2022/23Vitesse ArnhemEredivisieCB32270288%130.130.10134913420.58
2021/22RKC WaalwijkEredivisieCB33288094%200.060.08133812600.60
2020/21RKC WaalwijkEredivisieCB33294696%020.060.08136611780.56
2019/20RKC WaalwijkEredivisieCB14105445%300.260.23138411740.62

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueGo Ahead Eagles8720011488
2025/26Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles325500—
2023/24Knvb BekerVitesse Arnhem213600—
2022/23Knvb BekerVitesse Arnhem112000—
2021/22Knvb BekerRKC Waalwijk431101—
2020/21Knvb BekerRKC Waalwijk112000—
2019/20Knvb BekerRKC Waalwijk19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Aytaç Kara
Super Lig · 2020
27€1.4M€1.0Mfell
Ibrahim Olawoyin
Super Lig · 2024
27€1.8M€2.2Mrose
Iver Fossum
Superliga · 2022
26€1.5M€650kfell
Jakob Johansson
Super League 1 · 2016
26€2.0M€2.5Mrose
Haris Hajradinovic
Super Lig · 2021
27€3.2M€2.5Mfell
Ryan Koolwijk
Eredivisie · 2013
28€1.2M€750kfell
Maxime D'Arpino
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
26€2.5M€500kfell
Tjaronn Chery
Eredivisie · 2015
27€4.0M€3.5Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
5 Aug 2025SampdoriaGo Ahead Eagles€400k€700k
25 Jul 2024VitesseSampdoria€175k€900k
1 Jul 2022RKC WaalwijkVitesse€1.0M€800k
24 Jan 2018Preston U19RKC WaalwijkFree / loanData unavailable
31 Dec 2017Lancaster CityPreston U19Free / loanData unavailable
8 Sept 2017Preston U19Lancaster CityFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Man Utd YouthPreston U19Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.