Alexander Prass
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Alexander Prass's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-6.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.7M-12.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.1M-13.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.24x the positional average in the league (1298 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 25
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 54.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €9.0M vs market €9.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1298 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.35
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.28
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 54 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1508
- Opponent strength
- 1517
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.1M – €13.0M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+93 Elo); relative output up 71% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -66% to -3%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1298 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | LM | 32 | 1298 | 42% | 3 | 2 | 0.35 | 0.28 | 1517 | 1508 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | LM | 23 | 1571 | 51% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 1498 | 1415 | 0.94 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 119 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Austria | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 301 | 0 | 0 | 1534 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 152 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Nkounkou Bundesliga · 2024 | 24 | €7.5M | €2.6M | fell |
| Rolando Mandragora Serie A · 2022 | 25 | €10.0M | €8.5M | flat |
| José Manuel Jurado Premier Liga · 2013 | 27 | €6.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Urby Emanuelson Serie A · 2013 | 27 | €8.8M | €1.3M | fell |
| Alexandru Maxim Bundesliga · 2015 | 25 | €6.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Adrian Mierzejewski Super Lig · 2013 | 27 | €5.5M | €5.0M | flat |
| Pape Gueye Laliga · 2023 | 24 | €10.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Artur Yusupov Premier Liga · 2015 | 26 | €6.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2024 | Sturm Graz | Hoffenheim | €12.0M | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | FC Liefering | Sturm Graz | €100k | €700k |
| 1 Jan 2019 | AKA Salzb. U18 | FC Liefering | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | AKA Salzb. U16 | AKA Salzb. U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | AKA Salzb. U15 | AKA Salzb. U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Salzburg Youth | AKA Salzb. U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | LASK Youth | Salzburg Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | FC Pasching You | LASK Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 9 Sept 2009 | LASK Youth | FC Pasching You | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.