Oumar Solet
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Oumar Solet's performance-implied value at EUR 3.2M-9.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.1M-23.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.8M-29.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 81
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 64.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €13.4M vs market €23.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2961 (87% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 64 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1442
- Opponent strength
- 1496
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €10.8M – €29.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 38 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -66% to +36%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CB | 35 | 2961 | 87% | 3 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 1496 | 1442 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CB | 19 | 1674 | 49% | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 1494 | 1389 | 0.99 |
| 2019/20 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | CB | 1 | 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1333 | 1566 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | CB | 1 | 60 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1343 | 1604 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 3 | 261 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxence Lacroix Bundesliga · 2024 | 24 | €20.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos Bundesliga · 2022 | 25 | €15.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Jérôme Roussillon Bundesliga · 2019 | 26 | €20.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| José Gayà Laliga · 2023 | 28 | €30.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Armando Izzo Serie A · 2019 | 27 | €20.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Gian Marco Ferrari Serie A · 2021 | 29 | €12.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Philipp Lienhart Bundesliga · 2021 | 25 | €14.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Joakim Maehle Bundesliga · 2024 | 27 | €14.0M | €7.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2025 | Without Club | Udinese | Unknown | €8.0M |
| 14 Sept 2024 | Salzburg | Without Club | Unknown | €10.0M |
| 27 Jul 2020 | Lyon | Salzburg | €4.5M | €900k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Stade Lavallois | Lyon | €1.4M | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Lyon | Stade Lavallois | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 22 Jan 2018 | Stade Lavallois | Lyon | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Stade Laval B | Stade Lavallois | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Stade Laval U19 | Stade Laval B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Villejuif Jgd | Stade Laval U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Créteil Youth | Villejuif Jgd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.