Ransford Königsdörffer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ransford Königsdörffer's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-7.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.4M-8.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.4M-7.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.65x the positional average in the league (2350 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 48
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 51.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €4.7M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2350 (77% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.33
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 52 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1380
- Opponent strength
- 1485
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.4M – €7.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -6% (IQR -39% to +41%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Hamburger SV | Bundesliga | ST | 33 | 2350 | 77% | 5 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 1485 | 1380 | 0.94 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Hamburger SV | 3 | 280 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Biabiany Serie A · 2013 | 25 | €8.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Manuel Pucciarelli Serie A · 2016 | 25 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Linton Maina Bundesliga · 2024 | 25 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Mathew Leckie Bundesliga · 2017 | 26 | €2.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Ladislav Krejci Serie A · 2017 | 25 | €5.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Aron Dønnum Ligue 1 · 2024 | 26 | €3.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Akor Adams Ligue 1 · 2024 | 24 | €10.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Juan Otero Ligue 1 · 2019 | 24 | €4.0M | €3.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Hamburg | Mainz | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Dynamo Dresden | Hamburg | €1.4M | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | D. Dresden U19 | Dynamo Dresden | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Hertha BSC U19 | D. Dresden U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Hertha BSC U17 | Hertha BSC U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Hertha BSC Yth. | Hertha BSC U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | SCC Berlin Jgd. | Hertha BSC Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.