Akor Adams
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Akor Adams's performance-implied value at EUR 3.6M-16.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.8M-23.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.0M-18.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.22x the positional average in the league (2060 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 9
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 63.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €15.5M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2060 (60% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.57
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.62
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 64 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1397
- Opponent strength
- 1488
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.0M – €18.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 25 pts; changed club; team strength up (+142 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -16% (IQR -43% to +24%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 32 | 2060 | 60% | 10 | 3 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 1488 | 1397 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | ST | 15 | 1079 | 35% | 3 | 3 | 0.50 | 0.54 | 1437 | 1236 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 4 | 131 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.64 | 1643 | 1410 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | ST | 32 | 2264 | 74% | 8 | 1 | 0.36 | 0.44 | 1476 | 1434 | 0.87 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Nigeria | 7 | 501 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Destro Serie A · 2016 | 25 | €11.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Luis Muriel Serie A · 2017 | 26 | €17.0M | €13.0M | fell |
| Vincenzo Grifo Bundesliga · 2019 | 26 | €9.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Nacer Chadli Premier League · 2017 | 28 | €15.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Serhou Guirassy Bundesliga · 2023 | 27 | €14.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Cyril Ngonge Serie A · 2024 | 24 | €12.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Krzysztof Piatek Serie A · 2023 | 28 | €7.0M | €8.5M | rose |
| Yoshinori Muto Bundesliga · 2018 | 26 | €6.0M | €5.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2025 | Montpellier | Sevilla FC | €5.5M | €9.0M |
| 7 Aug 2023 | Lillestrøm SK | Montpellier | €4.5M | €4.0M |
| 8 Jan 2022 | Sogndal | Lillestrøm SK | Free / loan | €400k |
| 3 Jun 2019 | Jamba F.A. | Sogndal | Unknown | €50k |
| 2 Jun 2019 | Sogndal | Jamba F.A. | Free / loan | €50k |
| 15 Aug 2018 | Jamba F.A. | Sogndal | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.