
Kenneth Taylor
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kenneth Taylor's performance-implied value at EUR 3.5M-17.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 17.1M-31.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 14.1M-29.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.05x the positional average in the league (2682 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 29
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 73.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €22.0M vs market €25.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2682 (78% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.37
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 73 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1467
- Opponent strength
- 1494
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €14.1M – €29.7M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+70 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +4% (IQR -9% to +14%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | Serie A | CM | 17 | 1402 | 41% | 3 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.25 | 1494 | 1522 | 0.93 |
| 2025/26 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 15 | 1280 | 42% | 2 | 4 | 0.42 | 0.21 | 1286 | 1405 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 33 | 2461 | 80% | 9 | 6 | 0.55 | 0.25 | 1285 | 1505 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 34 | 2766 | 90% | 5 | 5 | 0.33 | 0.20 | 1348 | 1439 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 32 | 2505 | 82% | 8 | 3 | 0.40 | 0.17 | 1330 | 1593 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 13 | 577 | 19% | 1 | 3 | 0.62 | 0.17 | 1305 | 1749 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 3 | 82 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1238 | 1722 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 3 | 293 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 4 | 260 | 0 | 0 | 1629 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 11 | 733 | 5 | 1 | 1535 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 6 | 466 | 1 | 1 | 1431 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 123 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 6 | 482 | 2 | 0 | 1517 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 161 | 0 | 1 | 1421 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 6 | 421 | 0 | 1 | 1700 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 235 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1628 |
| 2022/23 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1641 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 205 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1600 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Răzvan Marin Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 23 | €13.5M | €15.0M | flat |
| Danilo Pereira Liga Portugal · 2016 | 25 | €12.0M | €24.0M | rose |
| Gaetano Castrovilli Serie A · 2020 | 23 | €20.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Fernando Premier Liga · 2017 | 25 | €14.0M | €11.5M | flat |
| Sergej Milinković-Savić Serie A · 2019 | 24 | €65.0M | €70.0M | flat |
| Héctor Herrera Liga Portugal · 2016 | 26 | €16.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Ludovic Blas Ligue 1 · 2022 | 24 | €16.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| William Carvalho Liga Portugal · 2017 | 25 | €25.0M | €25.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | Ajax | Lazio | €16.9M | €23.0M |
| 10 Nov 2020 | Ajax U21 | Ajax | Unknown | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | €750k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Foresters Yth. | Ajax Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.