Sacha Boey

26 yrs · Right-back · France
Bayern Munich · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€10.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€4.4M – €10.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.5M – €14.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.5M – €13.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€5.7M – €9.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€4.4M – €10.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.5M – €14.0M
Projected value (24 months)€3.5M – €13.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Sacha Boey's performance-implied value at EUR 4.5M-14.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.4M-10.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.5M-13.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 29

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average74.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.8 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €8.3M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-30% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €22.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1022 (33% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.09
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.09
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
75 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1668
Opponent strength
1231
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.5M – €13.6M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-104 Elo); league level down (-122 Elo); relative output down 45% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -49% (IQR -63% to -1%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1022 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26GalatasaraySuper LigRB1156018%100.160.09123115010.40
2025/26Bayern MunichBundesligaRB946215%000.000.04152218710.94
2024/25Bayern MunichBundesligaRB1359419%020.300.12144417720.94
2023/24GalatasaraySuper LigRB19171050%100.050.05129415970.45
2023/24Bayern MunichBundesligaRB21094%000.000.10167317151.01
2022/23GalatasaraySuper LigRB31271484%140.170.13129915350.50
2021/22GalatasaraySuper LigRB13106931%000.000.05126813260.42
2020/21Dijon FCOLigue 1RB24186555%010.050.11144612110.75
2020/21Stade Rennais FCLigue 1RB21254%000.000.10143114450.75
2019/20Stade Rennais FCLigue 1RB51697%010.530.23146415070.82
2018/19FC ToulouseLigue 1RB1130%000.000.17147913170.82

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueGalatasaray4116101662
2025/26Dfb PokalBayern Munich28001—
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueBayern Munich370001673
2025/26Franz Beckenbauer SupercupBayern Munich118001531
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueBayern Munich3103011483
2024/25Dfb PokalBayern Munich11700—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueGalatasaray6540101662
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingGalatasaray6540001391
2021/22Uefa Europa League QualifyingGalatasaray3270101310
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueGalatasaray3245001660
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueStade Rennais FC2180011576
2019/20Trophee Des ChampionsStade Rennais FC145001714

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Bruno Gaspar
Liga Portugal · 2019
26€3.5M€1.0Mfell
David Carmo
Liga Portugal · 2024
25€12.0M€5.0Mfell
Diogo Leite
Liga Portugal · 2021
22€10.0M€15.0Mrose
Cristián Borja
Liga Portugal · 2019
26€3.5M€3.0Mflat
Marcos López
Eredivisie · 2023
24€4.0M€2.5Mfell
Noussair Mazraoui
Eredivisie · 2021
24€17.0M€28.0Mrose
Jeremiah St. Juste
Liga Portugal · 2024
28€8.0M€3.0Mfell
Marco Torsiglieri
Premier Liga · 2013
25€4.0M€1.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026GalatasarayBayern MunichFree / loan€10.0M
5 Feb 2026Bayern MunichGalatasarayFree / loan€15.0M
28 Jan 2024GalatasarayBayern Munich€30.0M€22.0M
26 Jul 2021Stade RennaisGalatasaray€5.7M€2.5M
30 Jun 2021DijonStade RennaisFree / loan€2.5M
5 Oct 2020Stade RennaisDijonFree / loan€1.8M
1 Jul 2019Rennes BStade RennaisUnknown€250k
1 Jan 2018Rennes U19Rennes BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Rennes U17Rennes U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Rennes JugendRennes U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Red Star JugendRennes JugendFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Sacha Boey · MoneyballAI