Juan Foyth
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Juan Foyth's performance-implied value at EUR 5.4M-16.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.9M-8.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.4M-6.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 6
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 81th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €6.5M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -50% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 936 (27% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 81 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1544
- Opponent strength
- 1475
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.4M – €6.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts; relative output down 40% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -68% (IQR -73% to -55%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 936 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | CB | 13 | 936 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1475 | 1544 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | CB | 19 | 1517 | 44% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 1516 | 1597 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | RB | 12 | 1062 | 31% | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 1472 | 1577 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | RB | 24 | 1961 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 1520 | 1581 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | RB | 25 | 1932 | 56% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 1561 | 1661 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | DM | 16 | 1168 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1554 | 1676 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | RB | 4 | 66 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1415 | 1630 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 12 | 890 | 26% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 1546 | 1732 | 1.22 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Villarreal CF | 4 | 322 | 0 | 0 | 1632 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Villarreal CF | 3 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 1475 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 3 | 140 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Villarreal CF | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1415 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Villarreal CF | 10 | 891 | 0 | 0 | 1760 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Super Cup | Villarreal CF | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1754 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 2 | 80 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Villarreal CF | 12 | 904 | 1 | 1 | 1527 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 4 | 378 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 197 | 0 | 0 | 1655 |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 1719 |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1444 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Armero Serie A · 2014 | 28 | €7.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Aihen Muñoz Laliga · 2024 | 27 | €8.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Salvatore Bocchetti Serie A · 2015 | 29 | €7.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Aymen Abdennour Laliga · 2017 | 28 | €6.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Michael Lang Bundesliga · 2019 | 28 | €4.5M | €800k | fell |
| Ulisses Garcia Ligue 1 · 2024 | 28 | €4.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Rafael Ligue 1 · 2019 | 29 | €9.0M | €2.7M | fell |
| Djibril Sidibé Ligue 1 · 2022 | 30 | €8.0M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2021 | Tottenham | Villarreal | €15.0M | €12.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Villarreal | Tottenham | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 4 Oct 2020 | Tottenham | Villarreal | Free / loan | €13.5M |
| 30 Aug 2017 | Estudiantes LP | Tottenham | €10.5M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Estudiantes II | Estudiantes LP | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.