Maarten Vandevoordt

24 yrs · Goalkeeper · Belgium
RB Leipzig · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 192 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€15.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€11.1M – €21.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.2M – €7.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€5.8M – €22.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€18.2M – -€3.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€11.1M – €21.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.2M – €7.6M
Projected value (24 months)€5.8M – €22.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Maarten Vandevoordt's performance-implied value at EUR 3.2M-7.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.1M-21.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.8M-22.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 18

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average63.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.3 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €16.2M vs market €15.0M
Expected appreciationLow-20% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €15.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1051 (34% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
63 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1568
Opponent strength
1475
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€5.8M – €22.8M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -55% to +187%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1051 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26RB LeipzigBundesligaGK12105134%000.000.00147515680.94
2024/25RB LeipzigBundesligaGK642814%000.000.01158215330.94
2023/24KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueGK302700100%000.000.00137314590.63
2022/23KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueGK343060100%000.000.00130214950.58
2021/22KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueGK343060100%000.000.00134613560.49
2020/21KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueGK1090029%000.000.00131414140.55
2019/20KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueGK436014%000.000.00126414290.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Dfb PokalRB Leipzig436000—
2024/25Dfb PokalRB Leipzig436000—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueRB Leipzig2180001558
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingKRC Genk2210001466
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingKRC Genk2210001404
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingKRC Genk2180001451
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk6540001582
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingKRC Genk2180001554
2021/22Volkswagen SupercupKRC Genk190001570
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueKRC Genk190001612

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Mile Svilar
Serie A · 2024
25€9.0M€35.0Mrose
Alexander Nübel
Bundesliga · 2019
23€12.0M€6.0Mfell
Vicente Guaita
Laliga · 2013
26€7.5M€3.0Mfell
Pierluigi Gollini
Serie A · 2019
24€6.0M€17.0Mrose
Alex Meret
Serie A · 2019
22€25.0M€20.0Mfell
Wuilker Fariñez
Ligue 1 · 2022
24€4.0M€700kfell
Julen Agirrezabala
Laliga · 2023
23€5.0M€15.0Mrose
Angus Gunn
Premier League · 2020
24€6.5M€3.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024GenkLeipzig€10.0M€11.0M
1 Jul 2019KRC Genk U21GenkUnknown€300k
1 Jul 2018KRC Genk U17KRC Genk U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017KRC Genk YouthKRC Genk U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.